The easiest call is that Trump will lose the national popular vote, again. Will leave it to others to project whether it will be by more or less than 2016 as I haven't focused on that aspect.
Before moving on, let's back up a bit to Wisconsin. First I neglected to include 2018 Senate race– Baldwin (inc D) 55.4% Vukmir 44.6%. Up for Baldwin in 2012 at 51.4%. In 2016 the incumbent GOP Senator Johnson won with only 50.2%.
Second is the information John Nichols presents in this interview:
Ticket splitting in 2020? In 2016 I suggested that watching the Senate races would be more constructive than monitoring the Presidential polls and that ticket splitting wouldn't feature. Thus, I put FL and NC into the Trump column. NH was too close to call. The WI Senate polls totally tripped me up. And then I made the boneheaded (split-ticket) projection in PA – HRC and Toomey.