I'll admit that I didn't see this one coming.

Hillary may be struggling in the polls, but she has an Ace up her sleeve: the commander-in-chief.
You might remember that we are still at (undeclared and illegal) war with the universally hated ISIS, so the C-in-C has the ability to change the tone of the entire political debate on a dime.
The name of this gift is called Mosul.

Now that it is clear that ISIS is on the ropes, it's time to think about what happens next.

President Obama has halted the drawdown of U.S. troops from Afghanistan.

Three weeks ago I pointed out that the Baghdad government was increasingly unstable.
Today the crisis peaked.

I've been warning for some time that Baghdad's government wouldn't last much longer without a drastic change (see here and here), but the political crisis took a dramatic turn for the worse this week.

If ISIS was the only crisis in Iraq, then Iraqis would be a much happier, safer people.
That should give you an idea of how bad things have gotten there.

Some of the crises in Iraq are happening today. Others are destined to happen later this year.

Crisis #1: Fallujah Starving

The Siege of Fallujah is reaching a climax.

The final major foreign policy difference between President Obama and President Bush has been cast aside.

The recent defeats by ISIS are well-known and celebrated, but the weak performance by Iraqi forces is just as significant.