Richard Rorty 1999 prediction of Trump
A friend linked me to a Richard Rorty article, and I found this quotation from 1999 amazingly predictive of what we are now discussing about Trump and the Democratic party elite. The bolded type is my own emphasis:
http://franklycurious.com/wp/2016/11/14/richard-rorty-1999/
Richard Rorty Predicts 2016 President in 1999
… Members of labor unions, and unorganized unskilled workers, will sooner or later realize that their government is not even trying to prevent wages from sinking or to prevent jobs from being exported. Around the same time, they will realize that suburban white-collar workers — themselves desperately afraid of being downsized — are not going to let themselves be taxed to provide social benefits for anyone else.
At that point, something will crack. The nonsuburban electorate will decide that the system has failed and start looking around for a strongman to vote for — someone willing to assure them that, once he is elected, the smug bureaucrats, tricky lawyers, overpaid bond salesmen, and postmodernist professors will no longer be calling the shots…
One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past forty years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion… All the resentment which badly educated Americans feel about having their manners dictated to them by college graduates will find an outlet…
After my imagined strongman takes charge, he will quickly make his peace with the international superrich.
–Richard Rorty
Achieving our Country (1999)
I know nothing about Rorty, but I found his description of the frustration on the part of labor very clear and compelling. At the same time, I disagree with his statement about "manners". I don't believe half the country is racist or sexist. What I think many in the rightwing, labor, and low-income demographics may resent is affirmative action or whatever they may mean by the term, "political correctness." And I think that resentment will force us to begin looking at public education in this country, especially at tracking systems for low-income students. It's a complicated subject, but I think inequality in education is a key part of what has led to the deep divide between haves and have-nots. And I think liberal elites don't really understand the importance, or even the existence, of this long term educational injustice.
Comments
Thanks for posting this prediction.
What I find so intriguing is how well Rorty describes the outcomes he projects from what he knew so far: the Neoliberal policies that the Clinton Administration had baked into the cake of American life. Rorty wrote it the year that the Clintons were winding down. By 1999, they had set the stage for the asset stripping of the middle class domestically, and aggressive globalism abroad.
Rorty simply ran the scenario out to 2016. He did not know of the Neocons upcoming program of US terrorism against the world, which was poised to strike after 9/11 — and shoot for the moon — US Empire rule over the entire planet. But, as we see, the asset stripping of the American middle class and the US Wars for Empire moved together in perfect harmony. The American people lived through it in denial and distraction, and belated belligerence.
I found this part interesting:
Perhaps Rorty did not imagine that the "strongman" would already be a member of the international superrich. As I recall, that was the foundation of Trump's argument for running: He could not be compromised by their bribes. At the first debate, he told America: "I was on the other side of the table, where I could buy the policies I needed. I still get calls all the time. I know how that works."
While I agree, a full and free education is a key part of turning out citizens equipped to live a hopeful life the 21st century, the essential foundation for the actualization of all citizens is a basic national income for everyone. In this way, all Americans can experience and use this thing called "liberty," and they will be equipped with all the human rights the rest of the developed and emerging world enjoy every single day, including freedom from hunger and affordable housing.
The national income is more than affordable. Indeed, it is far less expensive than the inadequate social programs it would eliminate.
Evolve the species, please. Only there lies hope.
PS: I don't find the words "affirmative action" or "political correctness" to be fuzzy or mysterious. I think it is absolutely clear what they mean, both in theory and in practice. These concepts would emerge in any society that was denied the basic human rights, as established by the UN in 1948, and ratified unanimously. The people isolated in the US never received them because human rights supersede the constitution they were brainwashed to worship. Interestingly, the people who wrote that ancient constitution also refined the concept of the "basic national income." It was the only way they could deliver the "liberty" their vision was founded on.
I'm all for the basic national income. It's outrageous that
anyone lives in starving poverty in such a wealthy country.
I did not realize that our founding fathers had or proposed one. Linky?
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This is a good place to start
A brief history of Basic Income.
I've run into references, especially in their letters. Their thinking had emerged from the Age of Enlightenment.
Thank you! I've bookmarked that for future use. Every time I
mention it, people act like it's a radical new idea. We really have regressed as a society.
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Trump in neither strongman nor super rich
He pretends to be both. There was a shakeup in the transition team today and the infotainment branch smells blood.
" In the beginning, the universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry, and is generally considered to have been a bad move. -- Douglas Adams, The Hitch Hiker's Guide to the Galaxy "
what was the shake up?
Solidarity forever
Rogers...
Mike Rogers Let Go
Mike Rogers, a friend of Chris Christie, was fired as an apparent purge of Chrisie cronies continues. Sounds like a bit of a tempest in a teapot on a slow news day.
I believe there are racists and misogynists
in this country, as there are in every country. But I don't think the majority of people who voted for Trump are such people. I think the majority who voted for him voted against the Democratic and Republican policies that have hurt them, including endless war, which overwhelmingly effects lower-income Americans. I don't think these voters blame minorities or women or liberals for these policies. I think they are rejecting the powers that be.
I still believe the polls that showed Bernie Sanders would have beaten Trump, which I think meant that if independents thought Sanders had a fighting chance, they would have voted for him.
Racists and misogynists are acting out and getting media attention, and Trump himself may be as bad we've feared, but I don't think the voters who put him in office did so in order to elect a fascist.
The terms "racist" and
"misogynist" are bandied about by leftists as if they referred to a clearly identifiable set of beliefs and prejudices. In fact, Americans' actual personal attitudes regarding race relations and sexual relations are extremely diverse, complex, and often in a state of flux. There are many different forms, degrees, shadings, and moral positions that might be, and often are categorized under these pejorative and wholly condemnatory terms.
In trying to reform, correct, and channel public attitudes toward women and minorities "from above" as it were, I think progressives have been generally too forceful, too judgemental, and not flexible enough. Longstanding rural traditions and communal prejudices are often, perhaps even usually, resistant to radical alterations in "the way people think". The recalcitrance and backward-looking conservatism of many White voters in fly-over country does not necessarily make them all morally deficient or "deplorable". Tolerance is a virtue that can and should be encouraged, but it is not one that can be easily or forcefully imposed.
native