open thread: Hurricane Dorian

(this is by way of a PSA; my heart aches for those who are being affected by Dorian, and may never recover. this is a bad one. some members here will be, and we're all pullin' for you! please talk among yourselves, bring more news and tweets as you will. i'm a bit under the weather and depressed as hell, so i may not participate much.)

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orlbucfan's picture

Right now it is a strong cat 4 and still stalled over Grand Bahama Island. When it begins to move, it should go north but who knows? Hurricanes do their thing. I'm set where I live which is inland. Hate the devastation that is going down with Dorian. Rec'd!!

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Inner and Outer Space: the Final Frontiers.

wendy davis's picture

@orlbucfan

the thread will be parked here for the duration. latest from noaa satellites:

thanks, granma; i'll eat a few crabapples, they might sweeten me up. ; ) mr. wd will bring in a few more arrangements' worth of flowers when he gets home...the tables are loaded already, though...wish you could see the exquisite bounty, oh my.

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Granma's picture

Feel better soon. And may life bring you things to smile and laugh about very soon.

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Lily O Lady's picture

all it’s worth. He declared emergencies in Georgia counties even before Florida’s governor did. Governor Kemp does love a press conference. I really dislike the election-stealing son-of-a-gun.

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"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

wendy davis's picture

@Lily O Lady

just for the press, or for federal dollars? i've forgotten how it works, just as i've forgotten the underlying reasons for hurricane speeds. your screen name often makes me hear swiss yodeling, lily o lady.

but here's the new projected path, in any event:

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Lily O Lady's picture

@wendy davis

worst, but that the Outer Banks of North Carolina will get a direct hit.

Kemp may be thinking of the trouble Georgia farmers have had getting help after Michael, in spite of the fact that former Georgia Governor Sonny Perdue is Secretary of Agriculture. I do think that Kemp is overly fond of press conferences, however. He has seemed more subdued during the ones for Dorian. This is something he can’t rig.

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"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

wendy davis's picture

@Lily O Lady

This is something he can’t rig.

thanks for the 411 on michael and agriculture, but yes, it looks like the worst will bypass georgia. mr. wd and i stopped in georgia to see my sister and her family on a trip thru the south long ago, but i can't even recall the name of the McMansion-ville she lives in now. they moved to atlanta in search of big bucks, and did manage to accumulate a hella lot of them.

had i known ahead of time that dorian would move at a mile per hour, i might not have jumped the gun (so to speak) posting this.

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Lily O Lady's picture

@wendy davis

a meandering nightmare. It hit the barrier island twice where my f-I-l lived. I drove onto the island as it hit the first time. That was a challenge! Then it left and came back again. Just crazy!

I do think the Outer Banks will suffer from this. Dorian seems stronger than Dennis. My husband and I were speculating about the creation of new inlets due to the backwash from the sound side. Time will tell.

Evacuees from the storm’s path are here in the ATL area. Even my local Starbucks was extra busy today.

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"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

wendy davis's picture

@Lily O Lady

dennis left and came back again. whooosh! did it seem like it was a malevolent hurricane? the only reason i ask is that i've heard it posited as such: hurricanes have minds of their own. just sorta kidding...

sorry to be so long, i'd begun some cheese sauce for mac and cheese to got with our garden tomatoes and our skinny, curvy, japanese burpless cukes, and had forgotten: once begun, 'in for penny, in for a pound'.

thanks for that info, laydyodelayady-yoldelayyehoo! zounds.

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magiamma's picture

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wendy davis's picture

@magiamma

they closed down your link's live updates and began a new one this morning.

27m ago 08:10
Dorian on the move

The latest news is that Dorian is actually shifting. Almost imperceptibly perhaps, but the hurricane is on the move, traveling northwest at 1mph.

This news will bring a small sigh of relief for the Bahamas. But as the storm moves away we will begin to hear more details about what has actually happened in the islands and the terrible destruction the tempest has wrought there.

Florida now in its tracks but looks like it will stay far enough from the coast that the state will avoid the worst conditions.'

Having stalled over the Bahamas, Dorian has weakened to a category 3 hurricane with winds of 120mph.

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wendy davis's picture

@wendy davis

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gulfgal98's picture

Florida is being spared the worst of Dorian. It appears that storm surge will be the most dangerous part of this storm for eastern Florida coast and fortunately the storm surge is not predicted to be terribly high. The coast of the Carolinas may not be as fortunate.

I spent the last four days with mother in Winter Haven in central Florida and we kept a very close eye on the storm. My family has lived in Florida since the late 1940's and we have seen a number of hurricanes, but have always been spared the worst from them. In all those years, I have have never seen a storm with such a well organized eye that remained as such for so long. The fact that Dorian was moving extremely slowly and remained stationary for an extended period of time over Grand Bahama has led to what will probably be an extraordinary amount of devastation in that part of the Bahamas.

Those of us who live in or have family in Forida were fortunate to have dodged a very big bullet. On my drive from Winter Haven in the center of the state back to Tallahassee in the northern part of the state in the Big Bend, I saw some of the effects of the outer bands from Dorian with short periods of heavy rain mixed in with light showers as I drove north on US 27.

When I reached the Florida Turnpike at US 27, I made a turn west and the skies immediately cleared up. The Turnpike was made toll free due to the storm. I was dreading exiting from the Turnpike on to Interstate 75 north because I 75 is always very, very crowded with people driving like maniacs trying to kill each other. Those 26 miles on I 75 are usually white knuckle times for me. Much to my shock,traffic was very light the entire route with I 75 being like driving on a very wide runway and all the other traffic driving at the set speed limit. It was the first time in a very long time I can remember seeing sanity along I 75.

As I drove north, more outer bands from Dorian were moving across the state. There was no rain from these outer bands, but it is very cool to watch them circulate in a counter clockwise direction. Thank goodness Dorian is now down to a cat 2 and is expected not to regain intensity. The main issue will probably be storm surge in the low coastlines along the Carolinas, and for some inland towns along rivers where the surge may back up the river beyond flood stage.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

wendy davis's picture

@gulfgal98

thinking about. miz macedonian signal is apparently in florida, as well, maybe blue onyx occasionally?

down to a catergory 2 already; that is good news. and yes, the images from the bahamas are horrific.

your having noted dorian's extremely well organized eye is what impressed many weather people, as well. early on, RT had an image (satellite, i assume) in which there were virtual explosions of purple light at the top of the hurricane. i tried to find it again to show on this post, but wasn't able to find it.

how great a report you've brought us gulfgal, and an historical narrative to boot. i'm so glad the turnpike and interstate travel were that easy this time: sanity, and that you and yours are as safe as orlbucfan, and we'll assume miz signal.

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gulfgal98's picture

@wendy davis For the well wishes. I believe CSTMS and Orlbuc fan are both inland.

For those of us who have been through hurricanes before, knowledge and heeding the warnings are the keys to safety. Most Floridians understand and respect hurricanes. Loss of property is to be expected but usually loss of life is very preventable because you usually have ample warning, unlike a tornado.

If you look at how few people died in Michael which literally devastated the Florida panhandle, it can be chalked up to people evacuating as ordered. The entire town of Mexico Beach was old Florida with ground level homes. It was leveled from storm surge and yet very few people lost their lives in Mexico Beach because they got out.

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Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

wendy davis's picture

@gulfgal98

have have said st. pete on the west side, and orbulcfan inland as well. thank you for remniding us of early warnings v. the loss of life, as well. i've only witnessed in person the breathtaking results of hurricanes along the gulf, and virtually, many others. haiti, puerto rico, new Orleans (where the levies failed) and so on. disasters.

many thanks, again, amiga.

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wendy davis's picture

good gawd all-friday:

such fierce beauty in the setting sun:

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wendy davis's picture

and for lily o lady:

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