Open Thread 10-31-15
Good morning 99percenters!
Morning news dump and music by Johnny Sansone
As previously warned about in June of 2015, the United States has announced that it will officially begin ground operations in Syria through the use of special forces. The Washington Post in its article, "Obama seeks to intensify operations in Syria with Special Ops troops,"would report that:
President Obama is sending a small number of Special Operations troops to northern Syria, marking the first full-time deployment of U.S. forces to the chaotic country.
The mission marks a major shift for Obama, whose determination to defeat the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria has been balanced by an abiding worry that U.S. troops not be pulled too deeply into the intractable Syrian conflict.
The latest deployment will involve fewer than 50 Special Operations advisers, who will work with resistance forces battling the Islamic State in northern Syria but will not engage in direct combat, Obama administration officials said.
As Merkel Crumbles Berlin Turns To Moscow
North Stream 2 Agreement and visit of German Vice Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel to Moscow signals a coming Russian German rapprochementBack on 26th November 2014, following a Reuters despatch discussing a meeting Merkel had with Putin at the G20 summit in Brisbane, we wrote the following:
“Merkel has brought this on herself by taking on the Russians in Ukraine where, as we at RI have repeatedly said, the Russians hold all the cards. Accustomed to getting her way with other EU leaders, in dealing with the Russians she looks out of her depth. The first rule in politics is when in a hole; stop digging. If Merkel cannot stop digging, Germany may soon have a new Chancellor.”
We were the first to say at a time when no-one else even contemplated the possibility that because of her disastrous mishandling of the Ukrainian crisis Merkel’s job was on the line.
Since then Merkel has compounded her problems by her disastrous mishandling of the Greek crisis and the refugee crisis.
US Tax Dollars up in Smoke Over Afghanistan
Citizens Earn it, Government Burns it, Creating a HazeWant to meet a government official who tells the truth — in spades? Then you will definitely want to set aside time to hear of the stunning findings of the top US investigator for spending in Afghanistan.
The biggest problem is not theft, but waste, he says. For example, the $500 million spent on airplanes that no one could fly, and that ultimately had to be scrapped, a process that cost yet more thousands of dollars. Or the gift of soybeans, which the Afghans will not eat and will not grow. Or how about the creation of a navy for Afghanistan — a country that is landlocked?
The biggest source of the problem is the lack of accountability, he says. But that is changing.
“God bless whistleblowers,” says Sopko. “If we didn’t have them, things would be a hundred times worse.” And some of his sources of information would surprise you.
How Much Would You Pay for Air? It Sounds Absurd At First— But They Already Got You to Pay for Water
Is the bottled water industry a harbinger of crazier industries to come?How much would you pay for air? It’s an absurd question. After all, air is free. There’s no reason to pay for it. Air seems a poor choice for a commercial product. But what if you were in a place with limited air—the top of a mountain, underwater, or in a sealed room? In those places, you’d pay a lot for air, maybe even everything you have.
If not air, then how about water? For a moment water seems absurd too. It’s available nearly everywhere, and it’s so cheap it’s often given away for free. But if you’re thirsty and you’re out of options, you’ll pay plenty for water. Both air and water are so important that after a short time—minutes in the case of air, a few days in the case of water—humans can’t live without them. We derive an immense benefit from those plentiful commodities and yet we generally pay very little for them.
The difference between how much you would pay for something if you had to and how much you actually pay in the current market is called economic surplus. The story of business, from the very first barter trade right through to the latest financial transaction a millisecond ago, is a story of economic surplus. People and businesses buy or sell goods and services because what they get—whether it’s air or a car or a dollar—is worth more to them than what they give in exchange. The difference between what something is worth to you and what you actually give in exchange for it can be very personal. Surplus varies from person to person, from time to time, and from situation to situation.
From "Sustainable" to "Regenerative" - the Future of Food
This week, the paywalled site PoliticoPro reported that the US Secretary of Agriculture wants "farmers and agricultural interests to come up with a single definition of sustainability in order to avoid confusing the public with various meanings of the term in food and production methods."
We agree with Secretary Tom Vilsack that the word "sustainability" is meaningless to consumers and the public. It's overused, misused and it has been shamelessly co-opted by corporations for the purpose of greenwashing.
But rather than come up with one definition for the word "sustainable" as it refers to food and food production methods, we suggest doing away with the word entirely. In its place, as a way of helping food consumers make conscious, informed decisions, we suggest dividing global food and farming into two categories: regenerative and degenerative.
6 Spooky Ways Local Law Enforcement Is Watching You
A day in the life of the surveillance stateOften, the discussion on government surveillance in the US is all about the NSA or the FBI. But the feds aren’t the only ones spying on you. Local law enforcement has been getting in on the action, and it’s not good.
If you’re planning on dressing up and enjoying yourself this weekend, you might think that a layer of paint and a wig is enough to make you unrecognizable. Unfortunately, that’s just not the case. Government spending on surveillance technologies for domestic law enforcement—like IMSI catchers, biometrics, and cameras of all kinds—has increased exponentially in recent years, despite the fact that in the last 20 years, crime rates in the United States have steadily and significantly declined (PDF).
Invasive street level surveillance technologies are popping up in towns across the US—and around the globe. A Halloween costume is no match for these technologies when it comes to protecting your privacy. Here are a few of the disturbing surveillance technologies that local law enforcement is increasingly adding to its arsenal, and how you might encounter them on a typical day. As we walk through these technologies, try to imagine what you’d have to do to go a single day without surveillance.
Crypto is For Everyone—and American History Proves It
Over the last year, law enforcement officials around the world have been pressing hard on the notion that without a magical "backdoor" to access the content of any and all encrypted communications by ordinary people, they’ll be totally incapable of fulfilling their duties to investigate crime and protect the public. EFF and many others have pushed back—including launching a petition with our friends to SaveCrypto, which this week reached 100,000 signatures, forcing a response from President Obama.
This is in addition to multiple findings that the government’s “going dark” concern has proven completely unfounded in the past, along with former national security officers disavowing the concern all together. And given law enforcement’s continuing attacks on the public’s use of encryption, we think it’s time for a quick look at the long tradition of encryption use by some ordinary, and some not so ordinary, Americans.
Of course most folks know that cryptography is a critical military tool. In one of NSA’s own published histories [pdf] of cryptology, the government touts its significance, and many folks believe, reasonably, that cryptography played a significant role in the Allies winning WWII. But law enforcement officials have recently made clear that they believe the government—and only the government—should benefit from the routine use of the most secure encryption technologies. And they are currently endeavoring to restrict the widespread use of secure encryption technologies by the public.
Half Million Die in Decade of Disasters in Asia Pacific
The Asia Pacific region, the most disaster-prone part of the world, suffered 1,625 disasters in the decade through 2014, and needs to spend more on adapting to climate change and preparing for more extreme weather, the United Nations said this week.
The region's disasters - 40 percent of the global total - claimed half a million lives over the decade, affected 1.4 billion people and caused $523 billion in economic damage, the 2015 U.N. Asia-Pacific Disaster Report said.
The world body urged the region's governments to invest more in adapting to climate change and preparing for disasters as the risks the region faces are worsened by its rapid economic growth and mushrooming population.
This Year’s Ozone Hole is the Fourth-Largest on Record
The ozone hole, an environmental problem often associated with the 1980s, is still a clear and present issue more than 30 years later. Despite efforts to clean up the stratosphere of ozone-depleting chemicals, this year’s ozone hole minimum bottomed out at the fourth lowest on record.
The ozone hole this year grew to a size of 10.9 million square miles, which is larger than the continent of North America. It’s a 1.3 million square miles bigger than last year’s size, and is the fourth largest on record since 1991.
This year the hole formed later and lasted two weeks longer than usual, leading to almost 100 percent ozone depletion. While ozone-depleting chemicals are still playing a role, natural factors, such as stratospheric circulation, also helped drive this year’s widespread thinning.
New primate species at root of tree of extant hominoids
It lived 11.6 million years ago and precedes the divergence between hominids and hylobatidsLiving hominoids are a group of primates that includes the small-bodied apes (the lesser apes, or gibbons and siamangs, which constitute the family Hylobatidae) and the larger-bodied great apes (orangutans, gorillas and chimpanzees), which, along with humans, belong to the family Hominidae. All extant hominoids share several features, such as the lack of external tail, an orthograde body plan that enables an upright trunk position, and several cranial characteristics. All these features might have been present in the common ancestor of hominids and hylobatids that, according to molecular data, would have lived about 15-20 million years ago.
Researchers from the 'Institut Català de Paleontologia Miquel Crusafont' (ICP) have described the new genus and species of extinct hominoid, Pliobates cataloniae, based on a partial skeleton composed of 70 fossil remains found in 2011 in one of the sites within the stratigraphic series of Abocador de Can Mata (els Hostalets de Pierola, Barcelona, Catalonia, NE Iberian Peninsula). These include most of the skull and dentition as well as a considerable portion of the left arm, including several elements of the elbow and wrist joints. They belong to an ape similar in size to the smallest of living gibbons (4 to 5 kg), which lived 11.6 million years ago. Pliobates shows, for the first time in a primate fossil of this size, a set of characteristic features of extant hominoids, presumably inherited from their last common ancestor, which probably lived in Africa several million years before Pliobates.
This find radically changes the hitherto accepted morphotype of the hylobatid-hominid ancestor and provides very solid clues about the origin of extant gibbons. "The origin of gibbons is a mystery because of the lack of fossil record, but until now most scientists thought that their last common ancestor with hominids must have been large, because all of the undoubted fossil hominoids found so far were large-bodied," explains David M. Alba, the ICP researcher leading the study published in the journal Science. All the small-bodied (5 to 15 kg) fossil anthropoids found before Pliobates displayed a body plan too primitive to be closely related to extant hominoids. "This find overturns everything," according to this ICP researcher.
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Comments
Morning folks...
Happy Halloween!
Good Morning Sunshine
The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -
Morning Tim...
are you trick or treating?
Just Treating
The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe. If you try it, you will be lonely often, and sometimes frightened. But no price is too high to pay for the privilege of owning yourself. - Friedrich Nietzsche -
Bill Maher's rant
I don't agree with everything he says, but I do agree with this item.
ISIS claims to have shot down commercial airline
live blog
So the blood-soaked Al-Sisi is smiled on by both Putin and Obama
That would explain a few things.
This doesn't bode well for what remains of the Arab Spring / Arab Democratic Awakening in Egypt, whose ranks Al-Sisi has already decimated and forced into hiding.
There are still people who argue that the U.S. removed Saddam and Gaddafi as a step toward democracy, but by now it is hard to believe that they are arguing this in good faith.
As a prime example, take this little
nugget from the comments to yorlik7's brilliant and sobering diary. The naivete is thick over there, and attracting flies.
"Our society is run by insane people for insane objectives. I think we're being run by maniacs for maniacal ends and I think I'm liable to be put away as insane for expressing that. That's what's insane about it."
-- John Lennon
Yep
And here are the geniuses who recommended that comment. Scooby, Gator Keyfitz, Osiris, WinSmith, Pupmonkey, Native Gator, Laurilei, Front Toward Enemy, Texas Lefty, Merry Light, mattoqp, melanctha, larogera
I love the comment that followed it and which I heartily recommended. (my bolding)
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
WinSmith -- is there anyone over there more inaptly named?
Or could it be he means Mr. Smith after having the rat box on his head?
"Our society is run by insane people for insane objectives. I think we're being run by maniacs for maniacal ends and I think I'm liable to be put away as insane for expressing that. That's what's insane about it."
-- John Lennon
TomP comes to mind
this could be a fun game
Good Day, JtC and 99%'ers
My husband and I went to a Halloween party last night. Of the fourteen people there, only three of us were in full costume, me and one other couple. The host and hostess were dressed in black and she wore a witch's hat, but they were not in full costume like us.
I decided to go as a hippie goth, whatever that is. I wore my long black wig with a beaded headband and a lot of eye makeup, tons of white powder on my face and black lipstick. All the rest of my costume came from my own closet! Black tights and boots, a funky long top that was mainly black with orange geometric patterns, and topped off with a knit black vest trimmed in fake fur. I stayed in character the entire evening and had a ball.
The other couple in costume were the wife was dressed as a witch and the husband had the best costume of all. He is a very tall and big Swede and he was dressed as a Viking from head to toe. He had fake fur boots with a long black skirt over top and a fake fur waist cinch, a long vest with fake fur trim, a Viking helmet with a curly wig and fake beard and mustache attached. I can say for sure that the three people who had the most fun were the three of us in costumes. Everyone should wear a costume once a year and have the fun that goes with being someone or something else.
We will not get any trick or treaters tonight. Our house is located on a very busy and narrow road with no sidewalks so they do not come. I bought candy the first two years we were here and we never had any kids come, so I quit buying it. Down the street off a side street, there will be tons of trick or treaters.
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
Afternoon gg...
sounds like a lot of fun. We haven't been to a Halloween party for many years. We've lived in the country for 17 years, the only trick or treaters we've seen are the grand kids that come out every year, I still don't get candy though!
we'll get trick or treaters
it's a new wave. We've been here, in this Portland neighborhood, for 25 years. We've seen kids grow up, new kids move in or brought back from the hospital ('cause we didn't actually see them being born...but we believe they were). In the in-between years, between these waves, it gets slow on Halloween. But then these new kids get to be 2 or 3 or 6 and I worry that we'll run out of candy.
One major difference as I've gotten older is that I don't eat up all the leftover candy like I used to.
War in Iraq gets even more complicated
link
The MeK?! That's the outfit Howard Dean went to work for!
Glenn Greenwald for Salon, February 2012:
Israel, MEK and state sponsorship of terror groups
A new report claims that MEK is behind the assassination of Iran's scientists, and Israel funds them
Good morninig, Johnny. Japan has had "air stations" &
"oxygen bars" for years, but I don't know rates.
That, in its essence, is fascism--ownership of government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt --
Afternoon el...
good morning there. I have about a hundred bottles of air stored away, just waiting for the price to go up. The trick is not to sell when it's "deflated", but to hang on until the peak of the "bubble", heh.
Well, there are actually quite a few
here in the U.S. and you can find details about rate structures here (just scroll down to the "What can I make" section, though I would take this with a grain of salt as it is a promotional site). The site says $5 for 3 minutes. Just imagine how much the price goes up when it is treated as a scarce resource.
"Our society is run by insane people for insane objectives. I think we're being run by maniacs for maniacal ends and I think I'm liable to be put away as insane for expressing that. That's what's insane about it."
-- John Lennon
U.S. gives Syrian opposition another $100 million
during a civil war
I wonder if this will go to ISIS or al-Qaeda?
Yes. Yes, it will. (Mathematician's answer.*)
* http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/MathematiciansAnswer
Ha!
Color me uninformed, but this is the first time I have heard of the term "mathematician's answer." I love it!
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy
Social Security 'cuts' for individuals who attain age 62
AFTER 2015.
I'm pushed, but will come back with a copy and paste that lacks details, but refers to several 'ways of filing' [that have been used for decades] in order to enhance one's Social Security monthly benefit--which will now be eliminated.
One of them which is especially beneficial, will be eliminated effective 6 months from the date of enactment of the Budget Act.
(IOW, instead of age attainment by a certain year, there is a 'drop-dead' date.)
I saw the paragraph below (Mike Lee, R-Utah, ultra-fiscal hawk), and Googled to see 'what' he was referring to, since I hadn't heard anything about cuts to 'Old Age' Social Security benefits.
From Mike Lee's Statement:
Yea, and I'd love to know how many of our lawmakers have used these beneficial loopholes that they now deem 'wasteful.'
We were advised to consider one of them [later]. (we're not old enough yet)
I want to "Tweet" the paragraph on this, before I post it. So, I'll be back to post the brief paragraph that I found on the website of the US House.
Later.
Hey, thanks for the OT, today, JtC! And a very Happy Anniversary to Tim and Sweetie, and Birthday to Sweetie!
Mollie
"The best and most beautiful things in the world cannot be seen or even touched. They must be felt with the heart."--Helen Keller
Everyone thinks they have the best dog, and none of them are wrong.
Hi JtC, the Russian Insider has put a spell on Merkel ...
... I knew it, the marabou would do that to her and no Juju healer can help. As Merkel Crumbles Berlin Turns To Moscow
So, Merkel is now a psychopath? And Mr. Gabriel some sort of avenger Angel, who comes to the rescue of the fallen German Social Democratic in Germany? Or how do I understand that article?
Well, just be careful what you wish for. Of course she has appeased, like all "Good Germans" do, but who are you going to convince, that other "Good German", like Social Democrat Mr. Gabrie,l won't do the same, when he is challenged? Mr. Gabriel will have to wake up and smell the coffee, especially American coffee. Let's see what he starts drinking after he had tasted that "Plurre (way too weak coffee)".
Stratfor says in one of its article that you can get for free only into your email inbox:
So, what? Gabriel positions himself for the next elections as less "foot-licking" of US/NSA demands, while Merkel seems to think that is a bit too cheap trick for her? (I really can't believe I defend a CDU girl, but stranger things have happened lately.)
What the heck. So far, not one Social Democrat in Germany has "stood up against US and more right-wing, cold-war hawks among the European politicians. And as far as I remember, certainly not Mr. Gabriel, as he has proven here: Alexis Tsipras loses Sigmar Gabriel, his last best hope in Germany. Great, Mr. Gabriel. I felt betrayed by you with this one. Standing up against the US? You? I believe it when I see it.
Merkel has stood up against many when it comes to the refugee crisis. She should be proud of it. As it is the hardest to do, knowing that the majority of the population will turn against her for it. I call this "standing up".
.
Well, whenever she would have to go, she will leave a pretty large hole behind her, into which a lot of people will fall and break their necks. Merkel should have never joined the CDU, just because Helmut Kohl "grandfathered" her in to it.
The Financial Times analyzes the situation a little bit less panicky. Germany: Merkel opens door to her opponents
I knew it all along, all Voodoo politics throwing spells at honest to God "Good Germans".
Happy Halloween, all.
https://www.euronews.com/live
now The Russian Insider has a new article up about Merkel
and the Russia.
German Rapprochement With Russia — Reconsidered
What kind of publication is "The Russian Insider", a US based one? Oh, here we go: US Expats in Moscow.
About Russia Insider
[video:https://youtu.be/Db1R4Czx1xk]
How come they are all professionals in finance? Instead of home grown journalists? Nothing against a platform to counter biased anti-Russian propaganda news outlets in the Western media. But those articles look to me like giving a helping hand to "throw Merkel under the bus". I wonder how biased that is.
It's terrible, I can't make any judgment about German politicians and policies anymore, because I have no real access. Need to make a trip home. Who is Gabriel and what about Steinmeier? They are going to stand up against whom? Sounds to me, in the end, to nobody. I am confused and frustrated.
https://www.euronews.com/live
out of one's depth ≈ be in over one's head (water metaphor)
thanks, lotlizard...
So, what's the Mr. Gabriel guy all about? You are in Germany. Is there really any "left" left over there? Wagenknecht ? Gysi gone. I just don't get that Mr. Gabriel is now the man, who is supposedly standing up against the US NATO EU interests? Somehow that doesn't rub me in the right way. Why can't I trust in that man? I can't believe I defend Merkel against Gabriel. It feels utterly strange to me, yet I am doing it. I have to visit Germany a bit.
Downtown Washington is in Halloween mode. People enjoy the streets in their costumes heading to somewhere.
No kids trick and treating here. I think their parents must have organized some tours if at all.
https://www.euronews.com/live
Some comments from taz.de readers (all in German):
I need to get back to sleep (it's 5:30 am) so don't have time to translate much right now.
But these complaints are so exactly similar to what is wrong with U.S. Democrats that it's — and this is a great word for Halloween — eerie.
Again, the same problems as with U.S. Democrats.
“Gabriel is like one of those drivers who signal a left but then turn right, and is a flip-flopper too”
(These quotations are from readers' online responses to the taz.die tageszeitung editorial “Porträt Sigmar Gabriel: Besser als sein Ruf”.)
I'll hold off until the Bill is signed
to post the blurb (so I lessen the chances of ending up with a dead link). I expect it to be signed very quickly.
(No wonder the Bipartisan Leadership has been so elated with this deal.)
If I have a chance within the next couple of weeks to find more material that confirms these cuts, I'll go ahead and post the House blurb. (I want some backup, in case the link is killed.)
When Mr M had an interview with SS, the Agent mumbled, seemed nervous, barely talked above a whisper, and (not to knock him) had an extremely heavy accent--so we left there without a clue of what he was talking about (for the most part). But we weren't that worried, since we figured that we'd check various rules out on our own.
Seriously, we are considering setting up another interview, and having them explain the three rules that they are eliminating, just so we know what the options are. If eliminating these rules are 'cost saving measures,' they are obviously advantageous for the SS beneficiary.
When I "Googled" just now, the rule that the Agent mentioned to Mr M, "file and suspend," appears to be only available for folks who have reached FRA. (for both of us, that age is 66 years 0 months) So, that rule/loophole is not an option for us. [If I've already mentioned this, please disregard.]
Here are the 3 rules, if anyone wants to investigate what they are:
1) Deemed filing.
2) Dual Entitlement.
3) Benefit Suspension.
Mr M just told me he heard that PBO would sign this law Monday (2 Nov 15). So, that gives those eligible six months to use the benefit suspension 'loophole.'
And those who are not 62 by December 31, 2015--can kiss them all goodbye.
(That sarcasm is not intended toward those who will be hit. Appropriately, lawmakers are the object of my derision.)
If anyone here has any knowledge of, or has taken advantage of one of these loopholes, it would be great to hear about their experience.
Have a good evening, All!
Mollie
"Every time I lose a dog, he takes a piece of my heart. Every new dog gifts me with a piece of his. Someday, my heart will be total dog, and maybe then I will be just as generous, loving, and forgiving."--Author Unknown
Everyone thinks they have the best dog, and none of them are wrong.
Here's an interesting table, in light of the closing of this
so-called loophole.
Had to cut off the top of the table, but this projection was made in March 2015.
Guess it will accelerate, now.
'M'
Everyone thinks they have the best dog, and none of them are wrong.
Congresswoman: CIA should stop illegal war in Syria