The Housing Crisis and our return to a neofuedal economy

We've got a housing crisis because environmentalists and the government are standing in the way of capitalist developers building enough homes. At least that is what many in the news media tells us.

America is running out of houses amid a historic housing shortage and record-high selling prices.

A recent bank note from Jefferies said the US was short 2.5 million homes, while Freddie Mac put that estimate higher at a shortage of 3.8 million. There are 40% fewer homes on the market than last year, a Black Knight report found.

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Something about that reasoning doesn't feel right. Sort of like a supposed "labor shortage", which can be blamed on poor people getting "free money", rather than employers not paying wages that people can actually live on.
BTW, that "free money" is about to vanish in a month or two, right around the same time that the eviction moratoriums will expire.
If you think "how come poor people, and the government trying to help poor people, is always the problem, rather than the wealthy people that control the economy and the government? Am I crazy to think that this sounds like bullsh*t?"
You are not crazy.
It's all bullsh*t. What is actually happening is that our laws are specifically designed to encourage speculation in real estate, while completely ignoring the fact that shelter is one of the three basic needs of a human being.

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Think of it this way: when was the last time you heard someone celebrate rising food prices? Food is a basic need. You'll die without it. So why is rising housing prices a good thing when it will mean that thousands of families will become homeless and some of them will literally die from being homeless?
There are millions of empty homes in this country, while children sleep on our streets.

The White House reports that as of 2019, over half a million Americans don’t have a home to sleep in on any given night, while almost 17 million potential homes were standing empty. If the overall numbers of homeless citizens weren’t shocking enough, between 2017 and 2019, there was an increase of over 34,000 unsheltered homeless people nationally - even before a global pandemic and expected recession.

All this, while the number of empty properties around the country has increased by over 1.1 million since 2010, leaving over 12% of all housing units in the US vacant as of the latest figures in 2018.
...
There are 59 empty properties for each homeless person in the US, an increase of 43% since 2010.
Since 2010, the number of empty properties per homeless person has increased 24%

The only shortage of homes are ones for sale. We've got a huge glut of empty homes.
So why is that? Simply, the wealthy ruling class has decided to return the economy to a rentier economy, like in the middle ages.
So let's look at a sampling of the actors involved. This is only a sampling.
We'll start with someone who is really easy to hate because he's measurably evil.

Billionaire Charles Koch’s foundation has bankrolled three conservative legal groups leading the court battle to eliminate prohibitions against tenant evictions during the Covid-19 pandemic in America.

At the same time, Koch’s corporate empire has suddenly stepped up its real estate purchases during the pandemic – including making large investments in real estate companies with a potential financial interest in eliminating eviction restrictions.
...
Last April, a month into the pandemic, Koch Real Estate Investments made a “$200m preferred-equity investment in Amherst Holdings LLC’s single-family rental business”, according to the corporate law firm Jones Day, which said it advised the Koch Industries subsidiary on the deal. Amherst says that since 2012, “its affiliated funds have acquired and operated more than 30,000 homes”.

Starting last May, Koch Real Estate Investments began a financial relationship with Ladder Capital Corp., culminating in a $32m equity investment in December. Ladder finances residential real estate, and the Wall Street Journal recently reported that its subsidiaries’ loans to Donald Trump have been scrutinized by prosecutors.

Koch Real Estate Investments was also among a group of investors that last month bought an ownership stake in SmartRent, a landlord technology company.

You've got to give Koch credit. They don't shy away from being morally bankrupt.
Of course Koch is just one of many huge investment firms that are buying up whole neighborhoods.

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Then there is the group that you don't naturally think of when it comes to this topic.

In suburban neighborhoods near cities such as Atlanta, Las Vegas and Phoenix, blocks of families are sending monthly rent checks to ventures backed by Canadian pension funds, European insurers, and Asian or Middle Eastern government-run funds.

The overseas investors are following in the footsteps of many big U.S. investment firms and pension funds, which started buying single-family homes on a large scale in the aftermath of the financial crisis.
Foreign investors barely registered in these markets a few years ago. Now, they account for nearly a third of institutional investment in single-family rental homes, said Alex Foshay, head of international capital markets at real-estate services firm Newmark.

“There’s been very limited overseas investment into the single-family rental space prior to Covid, but nothing on this scale,” he said.

German insurer Allianz SE last month said it is investing in a venture to buy more than $4 billion of U.S. rental homes. Singapore’s sovereign-wealth fund GIC is backing plans by Quinn Residences to buy single-family rental homes across the southeastern U.S., according to people familiar with matter.

Canada’s Public Sector Pension Investment Board, meanwhile, said in January it agreed to a $700 million rental-home venture in partnership with Pretium Partners LLC. The venture has bought around 2,000 homes, said Pretium Chief Executive Donald Mullen. Foreign institutions have also invested in the Pretium’s funds targeting single-family rental homes, he added.

Today, more U.S. real-estate companies and Wall Street firms are buying in bulk or building single-family rental homes specifically for rentals, allowing foreign investors to back them with large sums of money.

Home builder Lennar Corp. , for example, recently launched a venture to buy single-family rental homes across the country. The company said it already has commitments from investors for $1.25 billion and will use that to buy $4 billion worth of homes. A number of these investors are based or affiliated with companies abroad, say people familiar with the matter. That includes Allianz Real Estate, a subsidiary of the German insurance giant, which said it committed $300 million.

Home prices are up 19% over last year, and are far above the price levels at the 2006 peak of the previous housing bubble.
Half of all houses sold, sold for more than their asking price.
25% of all houses sold were bought with all-cash.
Regular people can't compete with that.

This is where a government, that actually cared about the middle class and working class, would step in and stop this. Unfortunately, there isn't even a possibility of the government doing anything to stop this. At least not until after American society collapses.

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Comments

Pricknick's picture

Here in Michigan, a homeowner can not have property taxes raised by more than 5% per year.
I own my home but in ten years, at the current rate, I will not be able to afford the taxes on what I own.
I'll burn it to the ground before they get it from me.
Tax that.

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22 users have voted.

Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick
I'm of the opinion that if you live in the house then your property tax should be low. Just enough to fund the road police school and firefighters.

But if you own 3 or more houses then you should pay through the nose. That goes double for foreign investors.

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23 users have voted.

@gjohnsit residence should get the lowest tax possible. imho

2nd home, 30% more. After that taxes as high as possible.

Just my 2 cents. IDK much about home taxes. Ohter than that they are low in NYC and extremely high in the NYC suburbs. Middle income home owners on Long Island and Westchester were badly hurt by the Trump $10,000 tax limit.

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9 users have voted.

NYCVG

@Pricknick
Here in deep Blue Illinois we have terrifically high property taxes, sales taxes, gasoline taxes, and one of the lowest income taxes. A recent Constitutional Amendment was narrowly defeated by the voters after a slick TV campaign of lies and an inept (D) response. Gee, it's almost as if our billionaire Governor didn't really want it to pass.

For the record I've seen the fairest tax structure in red Virginia (1970's) and Alabama.
Of course, one can't get blood from a turnip.

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11 users have voted.

I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.

Pricknick's picture

@The Voice In the Wilderness
Let's leave it up to states to tax on top of fed tax.
I supposedly own up to the middle of my rural road. I pay taxes up to the middle of said road.
Why does my road look less like blacktop and more like a potholed, rut filled dirt wasteland?
I consider myself lucky. I hate driving.

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9 users have voted.

Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@The Voice In the Wilderness please see my comment above.

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2 users have voted.

NYCVG

That’s what the the delusional sociopath-billionaires are counting on. The Greedheads victory ain’t going to be pretty.

I hope RA is right about the Aliens coming to our rescue. It could also be that they’re wondering if the planet wouldn’t be better off without us humans. Tough call, that one.

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15 users have voted.

Capitalism is the extraordinary belief that the nastiest of men for the nastiest of motives will somehow work for the benefit of all."
- John Maynard Keynes

Pricknick's picture

@ovals49
Wipe humans and give nature a chance.

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13 users have voted.

Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

@Pricknick
and we haven’t yet grasped the inevitably of feedback loops that are already accelerating. Even to “wipe humans” might be a futile gesture at this point. Without knowing the future how can one know what the best choice would be, assuming there is any choice in the matter at all?

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13 users have voted.

Capitalism is the extraordinary belief that the nastiest of men for the nastiest of motives will somehow work for the benefit of all."
- John Maynard Keynes

Pricknick's picture

@ovals49
The feedback will do the trick eventually.

It could also be that they’re wondering if the planet wouldn’t be better off without us humans.

You take for granted that a far more intelligent species would have any doubt about us.
I have little doubt that humans are doomed with or without extraterrestrial intervention.
To space and beyond is on my itinerary while firmly grounded to my sphere.

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11 users have voted.

Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.

Raggedy Ann's picture

@ovals49 ,
after all, we are all aliens at the core, so our people will be coming to set us back on the right path - since we have seemingly lost our way! Pleasantry

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4 users have voted.

"The “jumpers” reminded us that one day we will all face only one choice and that is how we will die, not how we will live." Chris Hedges on 9/11

@Raggedy Ann
Have you had any experience with others who are exploring welcoming contact in small groups outside under the stars? We used to lay on a trampoline with the kids into the wee hours when the meteor showers were peaking several years ago. It seemed a good way to feel a sense of a larger connectedness, something busy lives often seem to have so little time for.

We sure could use a bit of guidance, wherever it may come from. We’re surely not doing so well taking care of our home planet at this point, that’s for sure.

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3 users have voted.

Capitalism is the extraordinary belief that the nastiest of men for the nastiest of motives will somehow work for the benefit of all."
- John Maynard Keynes

The Liberal Moonbat's picture

Last time around, it was a plague that ended feudalism.

So: What do we do? We can't just sit on our hands and let this happen. We're watching mass-murder, cliocide, and so many other unforgivable crimes in real-time.

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9 users have voted.

In the Land of the Blind, the One-Eyed Man is declared mentally ill for describing colors.

Yes Virginia, there is a Global Banking Conspiracy!

@The Liberal Moonbat Specifically, the Antonine Plague of the 230’s

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6 users have voted.
The Liberal Moonbat's picture

@mweens I don't recall ever reading/hearing about that one.

Got details?

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4 users have voted.

In the Land of the Blind, the One-Eyed Man is declared mentally ill for describing colors.

Yes Virginia, there is a Global Banking Conspiracy!

Sima's picture

@The Liberal Moonbat The Antonine Plague was actually in the late 100's, 160s -190s or so. It was brought back by soldiers from the middle east. Then there was the Cyprian (I think it was called) plague in the 230s, and probably the worst one, the Justinian Plague in the 500's. In each case, Latin authors wrote about the disasters, and that history has come down to us. The writing of the Justinian Plague is very scary, 70,000 bodies buried in mass graves in Byzantium... It sounds much like the writings about the Bubonic Plague in the middle ages. The Justinian plague has been cited as one of the reasons for the failure dealt the eastern Roman Empire in trying to reclaim the western. But, I'm more knowledgeable about the early and middle Empire, so I'm not immediately sure of all of the details. The Justinian plague may have been caused by the same organism that caused the medieval plagues (Y. pestis). Remains of Y. pestis have been found in 6th C burials. The Cyprian plague may have been yellow fever, or ebola. There's no evidence at all as far as I know, but the descriptions given by the writers.

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4 users have voted.

If you're poor now, my friend, then you'll stay poor.
These days, only the rich get given more. -- Martial book 5:81, c. AD 100 or so
Nothing ever changes -- Sima, c. AD 2020 or so

Home builder Lennar Corp. , for example, recently launched a venture to buy single-family rental homes across the country. The company said it already has commitments from investors for $1.25 billion and will use that to buy $4 billion worth of homes

Lennar is straight up evil. My mom was a property manager for them in the 80s and 90s, and the people running that company were all completely morally bankrupt even then. One of those same dudes is still running the damn company. Back then he personally directed and approved the use of shoddy building materials in areas prone to hurricanes but because it was for "cheap" rentals in Florida there was no one willing to hold him or his company accountable. Reading the wiki tells me he's leveled up his crimes considerably and gone nationwide in the time since. Predatory asshole, may he meet the fate he deserves.

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15 users have voted.
The Liberal Moonbat's picture

@Reverend Jane Ignatowski ...unless someone brings it to him.

We are NOT powerless; we need to stop shaking our fists and start SWINGING them.

As I've said before, anybody who's been proved to be ABOVE the law should be regarded as OUTSIDE the law; the legal defense all but writes itself.

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10 users have voted.

In the Land of the Blind, the One-Eyed Man is declared mentally ill for describing colors.

Yes Virginia, there is a Global Banking Conspiracy!

@The Liberal Moonbat

It's corruption and violence all the way down, inside the law, outside the law, doesn't matter. They're basically untouchable by any individual power, and they know it. There aren't many organized powers strong enough to fight them, and what few exist are effectively either in cahoots or competition with them.

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10 users have voted.
The Liberal Moonbat's picture

@Reverend Jane Ignatowski ...if it's that bad, can't we just boot Florida out of the union and hand their statehood off to D.C. or Puerto Rico???

On the other hand, if it's that bad, why should anyone there obey laws in the first place? What you are describing are EXACTLY the conditions that justify vigilantism.

If that environment is being allowed to poison other states, or provide safe harbor for those who do...that's arguably an act of war.

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5 users have voted.

In the Land of the Blind, the One-Eyed Man is declared mentally ill for describing colors.

Yes Virginia, there is a Global Banking Conspiracy!

Lily O Lady's picture

Due to those “liar loans” they were talked into, I recall hearing that people were going to have to rent since they couldn’t be trusted to own a home. A sleazy argument, but it got a lot of play in the media. That must have been the opening salvo in the war on personal ownership.

We own another home in another state. We have lived in it two separate times. We rented it once to our son-in-law. We had an opportunity to rent it to a family friend, but it was already leased. It has been a headache, and my husband has talked of selling but I worry about who would end up owning it.

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4 users have voted.

"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"

gulfgal98's picture

is that homes in the affordable price ranges are the ones being bought up to turn into rentals and in the case of my town in western NC, Air B & B's or VRBO's. This has had the effect of driving prices up and preventing middle income buyers from entering the ownership market. In addition, many people have complained that their neighborhoods are being turned into short term weekly rentals, thus destroying the character of having a neighborhood where you actually know your neighbors. The response of local officials has been that there are not enough hotel rooms so these short term rentals are needed make up the difference.

It is so crazy that most in town homes homes for sale here do not even make the public listings before they have a contract on them.

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4 users have voted.

Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?

“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy

Lily O Lady's picture

@gulfgal98

In another state. We thought we’d move back to it, but have been renting it for years. We are constantly barraged with request to buy it, but I worry who would end up owning it. If I could guarantee that it would go to a family, I would consider selling. Sadly, it’s hard to know who would buy it.

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3 users have voted.

"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"