Broken Government: About 30% of the population chooses who holds office.

In our system of "government" the real choice of who runs our country is made during the primary elections. This is because the propaganda mills we call "news media", state laws, and tribalism virtually guarantee that any given general election contest will essentially be a "choice" between a Republican or a Democrat--both of whom will have been chosen as the nominee during a primary election.

News outlets like to report on primary (and general) election turnout in the context of being relative to previous elections. They'll report things like "turnout is down from 2012" or "this state had the highest turnout of any (primary|general) election in its history!" What we rarely see reported is what the actual turnout numbers are. What they reveal is this: our government is deeply broken.

Primary and general election turnout data going back to 2000 is available from the United States Elections Project (for example; there are other sources). It paints an abysmal picture:

+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+
|   Election Year | Turnout Rate*   | Dem. Reg   | % Dem Primary   |
+=================+=================+============+=================+
|            2000 | 21.3%           | 33% + 11%  | 9.4%            |
+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+
|            2004 | 18.0%           | 34% + 13%  | 8.5%            |
+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+
|            2008 | 29.6%           | 34% + 17%  | 15.1%           |
+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+
|            2012 | 13.3%           | 30% + 19%  | 6.5%            |
+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+
|            2016 | 27.9%           | 31% + 17%  | 13.4%            |
+-----------------+-----------------+------------+-----------------+

(The registration percentage column data come from Pew Research and Gallup.)

The "Dem. Reg" column represents the percentage of voters registered as democrats (first number) and the percentage of voters registered as independent who lean democratic (second number).

The "% Dem Primary" column means "Percentage of eligible voters who voted in the democratic primary". It is taken by forming the product of "Turnout rate" and "Dem. Reg". That is, the number in this column represents the percentage of the eligible population who chose the Democratic nominee. Similar numbers apply to the Republican nominee.

Note: These are very rough numbers from the source. The "Turnout Rate" column is across all ballots counted, not by party, so there will be some minor discrepancies. Also, since some primaries are closed we really should only use registered democrats instead of adding the leaners in in those cases, so this table is actually being far more lenient than the data actually justify.

Let's let these numbers sink in. In any given election, fewer than 15% of the voting eligible population choose who the Democratic nominee for POTUS is. Due to variations on a state-by-state and district-by-district basis, these numbers aren't reflective of, e.g. Congressional primaries. It's actually much worse in many of those cases, because the numbers in the table are biased toward high-turnout states (like California). Some states, like Connecticut in 2004, see

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They are the ones who choose who holds office. We have no assurance from anywhere -especially after HAVA was rushed through the Congress- that any reported vote tally is reliable and accurate.

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Vowing To Oppose Everything Trump Attempts.

GreyWolf's picture

RE: "News outlets like to report on primary (and general) election turnout in the context of being relative to previous elections."

But there was a very diverse press at the time ...

United States presidential election, 1888 There is no democracy here, but that can't be reported to the masses by corporate media, since, as we all know, the corporate media's job is to continue to delude the masses into not realizing the corporations are in control. (About 1% really choose who holds office ...)

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snoopydawg's picture

When Obama ran on his Bait and Switch campaign. Look at the number of people who put their trust in him that he would at least try to do tie things that he was campaigning on.
Then look at the numbers for the following election after we knew that he sold us a POS!
I voted for him the first time, but after his FISA vote and then especially his cabinet appointments, I knew he wasn't going to Change a damned thing.
TPW has an excellent piece on the TPP and how disastrous it's going to be for this country and the other member states.
I thought it was congress that worked on trade agreements, but in order for them to even read it they had to go to a room in the basement and could only read one section at a time and couldn't take notes.
How is that fair representation by our government officials?
It's not.

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Which AIPAC/MIC/pharma/bank bought politician are you going to vote for? Don’t be surprised when nothing changes.

k9disc's picture

But that's not the case.

What's going to happen is that government and politics will lose the appearance of legitimacy and the vacuum will be filled by corporate. They have all the money, info, data, and organization. Corporate will step in and make the trains run on time.

If you look at the rumblings from econ heavy hitters, there's a push to have corporate start to do more in terms of social responsibility -- "It can't just be about profits any longer..."

This bodes poorly for the "failed experiment of Democracy", a favored term of the masters of the universe.

Thanks for the raw data.

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“Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” ~ Sun Tzu

before a single ballot had been cast, because she had sewn up both the big money donors and the superdelegates, i'd say your 30% is off by about 5 orders of magnitude.

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The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.

The corrupt "smoke-filled room" selection process that we still have deserves it's own essay (or series), though.

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