AMLO wins in a landslide

It finally happened. Mexico will have a leftist ruling party for the first time in memory.
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Riding a wave of populist anger fueled by rampant corruption and violence, the leftist Andrés Manuel López Obrador was elected president of Mexico on Sunday, in a landslide victory that upended the nation’s political establishment and handed him a sweeping mandate to reshape the country.

Mr. López Obrador’s win puts a leftist leader at the helm of Latin America’s second-largest economy for the first time in decades, a prospect that has filled millions of Mexicans with hope — and the nation’s elites with trepidation.

The outcome represents a clear rejection of the status quo in the nation, which for the last quarter century has been defined by a centrist vision and an embrace of globalization that many Mexicans feel has not served them.

Both major party presidential challengers have already conceded.
Morena will also have a majority in the legislature too.
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The size of the majority in the legislature is almost unprecedented (except for rigged elections under the PRI).

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Pluto's Republic's picture

Obrador triumphed using this formula: He ran:

1. As a candidate from a newly formed populist party that didn’t exist at the time of the last election.

2. Against well-connected opponents from the two-parties duopoly that has ruled Mexico for a century.

3. Promising to bring his humble lifestyle and distaste for luxury to the top of a political establishment famous for self-enrichment.

4. Promising to fight government corruption so that more of the poor can be lifted out of poverty.

5. Leading an emphatic populist rejection of the traditional politicians, technocrats, and pro-American politicians.

6. Attacking economic inequality throughout Mexico, which he sees as the root of Mexico's problems.

7. And facing years of voting corruption. This was his third consecutive Presidential election, so persistence counts. Even with this victory, there were not enough ballots for everyone to vote and exit polls are skewing widely from the official vote count, so far.

Sounds familiar.

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____________________

The political system is what it is because the People are who they are. — Plato

hours is all I'll give him.
No lefty lasts longer than that today.
Cynic much? Yes, yes I do.

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Ya got to be a Spirit, cain't be no Ghost. . .

Explain Bldg #7. . . still waiting. . .

If you’ve ever wondered whether you would have complied in 1930’s Germany,
Now you know. . .
sign at protest march

Song of the lark's picture

I might start to think Mexico was a failing state and Obrador the confirmation. Maybe I shouldn't have gone to see Sicario this weekend.
Still Mexico worries me. Oil production peaking, Peso moving south, Central American transit country, narco state, and a slowly evolving modernity and middle class. Weirdly reminds me of Libya under Gaddafi for some unknown reason.

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not so clandestine shenanigans will let the Mexicans carry out their agenda, or whether the United States will still try and keep this new government under its thumb or to undermine it.

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

@SoylentGreenisPeople @SoylentGreenisPeople

Let the Mexiphobia begin.

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The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

detroitmechworks's picture

I have not been following the election, but from what I see it seems that more people are interested in the World Cup than the election.

Of course, I understand that Mexico getting into the World Cup is about as rare as an honest election. Maybe they'll get some more of both.

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

Azazello's picture

@detroitmechworks
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GKcgnCoXymU width:500 height:300]

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

wendy davis's picture

piece at counterpunch, june 26: 'Mexico Can be a Counterweight to US Foreign Policy in Latin America', i'd been jiggy w/ anticipation to write
Wooot! AMLO won! essay.

"What worries them [the white house] most is AMLO’s plans to reverse the privatisation of Mexico’s oil and build refineries. Though more importantly for the wider region, his foreign ministers friendliness to Venezuela and the rest of the Latin American left that could derail Trump’s policy of isolating Maduro and Castro in the region. Losing the second biggest economy in Latin America as a US ally could help shift the right wing advance in the region and put momentum behind the radical left once again.

The growing popularity of AMLO’s anti-imperialist rhetoric arguably has its roots in The extraordinary lengths that the current President Peña Nieto (of the PRI) has gone to to submit to US foreign policy. In 2014 he privatised the huge state oil company PEMEX, opening it to US investors. By 2016 this had caused a crisis in production as a lack of state investment turned Mexico from a leading exporter into a net importer of US oil[2]. Then as the problems in the oil sector ran, Peña Nieto began an international relations strategy that would humiliate Mexico on the world stage. He invited Donald Trump to visit during the US presidential campaign in the hope that a charm offensive would cool off his anti-Mexican rhetoric...", etc

"His plans to move Mexico’s immigration office from the South to the North will cause a headache for Trump’s anti-immigrant policy as the US has long relied on Mexico to detain Central American migrants, in appalling conditions[5], to stop them reaching the US. On oil AMLO campaigned against privatisation and his proposed energy minister announced that “July 1 . .. will end the looting of Mexico,” etc.

"AMLO himself has (wisely) stuck to talking domestic issues, but his proposed Foreign minister is what worries the White House. He has chosen Héctor Vasconcelos for the role. One of Mexico’s most distinguished intellectuals and scholar of international relations, his father is José Vasconcelos, known as the ‘cultural caudillo’ of the Mexican Revolution, architect of attempts to forge a left nationalist Mexican identity. Vasconcelos Jr. has refused to join the rest of the region in condemning Venezuela and Cuba and implied support. This is a brave stance considering the total media onslaught against Maduro in every single Latin American country from its various Media barons. Also, the way Venezuela is used in fierce MCcarthyite smears against anyone vaguely on the left around the world but especially in Latin America. This could have huge repercussions for the Latin American left."

a mere four days days later i'd found this piece by bill van auken at wsws.org: 'The elections in Mexico and the political tasks of the working class'

"The coming to power of López Obrador will yield not a way out of the current crisis, but its sharp intensification and new dangers for the Mexican working class. Sooner rather than later, a MORENA-led administration will betray the mass aspirations for an end to the social hardship and suffering that López Obrador has cynically exploited.

There are no doubt substantial popular illusions in López Obrador, or AMLO as he is popularly known. A 64-year-old professional politician, he began his career in the PRI, leaving it for the PRD (Democratic Revolutionary Party) and twice running as its presidential candidate. He went on to found MORENA after the PRD turned sharply to the right, signing on to Peña Nieto’s 2012 “Pact for Mexico”, which opened up Mexico’s labor market, its education system, and the energy, financial, and telecommunication sectors to privatization schemes and so-called free-market “reforms.”

The closing of AMLO’s campaign Wednesday night, staged before a crowd that packed the Azteca stadium in southern Mexico City, provided an illustration of the sharp contradiction between the popular illusions in López Obrador and the reality of his class position and political program.

While vowing that the ruling parties of the past would lose the election, he promised that there “will not be reprisals.” [taking a page out of obomba's playbook] This means that the crimes of the past six years, including the disappearance and presumed murder of the 43 Ayotzinapa teaching students, along with countless other massacres by state security forces, not to mention the wholesale corruption which AMLO has made the centerpiece of his campaign, will go unpunished.

He signaled his readiness to enter a dialogue and reach agreements with Donald Trump, who, after Peña Nieto, is the most hated man in Mexico for his undisguised anti-Mexican racism, persecution of immigrants and demands that Mexico pay up to $15 billion to build a wall on its border. AMLO said that he would propose to Trump the creation of “something like the old Alliance for Progress,” the aid program inaugurated under US President Kennedy in 1961 with the aim of tying Latin America closer to US imperialism and forestalling left-nationalist revolutions like the one in Cuba.

As López Obrador has emerged as the all but certain victor in the July 1 election, he has moved steadily to the right, even as Mexico’s ruling oligarchy, which formerly denounced him as a demagogue bent on turning Mexico into a new Cuba or Venezuela, has moved to accept him.

Indeed, billionaire Carlos Slim, the richest man in Mexico and formerly the richest man in the world, warned recently that if AMLO failed to be elected president, the country would face economic instability.

In an appearance before the heads of Mexico’s major banks in March, the MORENA candidate vowed that the “property regime” in Mexico would be respected, with no plans for “expropriations or nationalizations.” He swore his fealty to the “market economy” and promised that his policies would not “affect the banking sector at all.”

Similarly, his aides and advisors have walked back AMLO’s previous denunciations of the drive to privatize Mexico’s previously state-controlled energy sector and open it up to exploitation by international energy conglomerates, promising that all such contracts will be respected.

The markets have already factored in the victory of López Obrador, and by all accounts see no threat to the interests of Mexican and world capitalism.

After his meetings with executives of major international banks such as Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in recent months, Wall Street is similarly bullish on an AMLO victory." there's more of course, but it sounds as though the western imperium isn't losing any sleep by his win. an yeppers; i'd fallen for the hopey-changey thing.

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Azazello's picture

@wendy davis
at wsws. I haven't searched their site but I'm sure they have a piece explaining why Ocasio-Cortez's win was actually a victory for the bourgeoisie.

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

The Aspie Corner's picture

@Azazello And when she takes office, it will be business as usual. She'll suck the same dicks as the rest of the pigs when all is said and done.

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

Azazello's picture

@The Aspie Corner
Brilliant comment, by the way.
Love the dick sucking reference. Did you get that from Marx ?

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

The Aspie Corner's picture

@Azazello It seems to me that even here all most want is political comfort rather than real, actual abolition of the far-right and their centrist enablers.

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

detroitmechworks's picture

@The Aspie Corner

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmFXEcI_AA4]

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I do not pretend I know what I do not know.

edg's picture

The Aspie Corner's picture

@edg Seriously, if the Repigs don't red-bait her ass out of the general, the Gentricrats will make sure she has no actual power even if elected.

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

edg's picture

@The Aspie Corner @The Aspie Corner

You wrote "even here all most want is political comfort rather than real, actual abolition of the far-right". In other words, "most" aren't pure enough for you. Did you forget what you wrote? Do you think we don't know when you're looking down your nose at us? Please forgive us for not being pure enough for you and for not doing things exactly the way you want us to.

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The Aspie Corner's picture

@edg Having spent my whole life living under right-wing rule and being close to middle-aged with nothing to show for it no matter how much work I put in, I'm sick of the bullshit and want something better. I'm not alone in that.

I'm also sick of watching this country stomp on everything and everyone else on this planet just so the bourgeoisie can get a few more coppers in their bank account in the Cayman Islands or wherever it is they're stashing their loot this week.

We can't afford gradualism. And if that makes me a purist, then so be it.

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Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.

Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.

wendy davis's picture

@Azazello

as i remember it. but why would you doubt van auken? guess we'll see when news you might believe about his rule emerges.

but yes, they had a commentary on the interview w/ chuck todd (the one i'd stuck in irish king's thread "a democratic socialist is only part of who i am")...and it was actually a hella lot of fun, including the author's references to four, iirc, paeans to ocasio in the new york slimes, an other epic paeans at various sites. as in: 'she's not scary to the ruling class' nor capitalism, as seen by the actual left on twitter. whatever, she'll be seated and do what she does, as with amlo the pre-comprador.

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Azazello's picture

@wendy davis
but I thought Trotskyites were a sub-species of Bolsheviks.
I started doubting wsws after their coverage of the teachers' strike in AZ.
It was tendentious, hyperbolic and not consistent with what I witnessed first-hand.

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

wendy davis's picture

@Azazello

gotten it quite wrong. yes, i do remember some of their teacher strike coverage, especially noting the union heads selling out the rank and file.

but they do have reporter on the ground in many venues, dunno about this fellah rafael azul was in mexico or not, but he also says after long explanations of the election results for many races, the staggering number of political candidates murdered :

"Popular anger has fed support for López Obrador, particularly among young voters, who have repeatedly shown that they have no confidence in the traditional parties. An estimate based on social media gives López Obrador 51 percent of the youth vote, followed by 24 percent for the PRI’s Meade and 14 percent for Anaya of the PAN coalition.

Protest rallies took place at special voting stations, set up for those voters that could not get to their assigned locations. Many of them ran out of ballots, as voters demanded their democratic right to vote.

López Obrador, long depicted as a “leftist,” who fell short of winning the presidency in his 2006 and 2012 elections, ran a pro-corporate campaign. Its main purpose was to convince the Mexican and American ruling classes that his election would not impinge upon private profit or capitalist property relations."

and van auken had said:
"A 64-year-old professional politician, he began his career in the PRI, leaving it for the PRD (Democratic Revolutionary Party) and twice running as its presidential candidate. He went on to found MORENA after the PRD turned sharply to the right, signing on to Peña Nieto’s 2012 “Pact for Mexico”, which opened up Mexico’s labor market, its education system, and the energy, financial, and telecommunication sectors to privatization schemes and so-called free-market “reforms.”

now it might all be rubbish, but somehow i doubt it. it should be a matter of public record.

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Azazello's picture

@wendy davis
Arizona teachers were proud of what they had done, that is, the first ever statewide teachers' strike. I didn't hear anyone bitching about being sold out by their union leaders and I know lots of teachers. Everyone I talked to thought it was a victory and they hope to parlay it into electoral victories in November. Nobody was calling for a general strike, much less a worldwide socialist revolution. It seems to me that wsws reports on what they wish had happened rather that what actually took place.
As for AMLO, time will tell but if he really is a neoliberal, why bother founding a new party, why not just stay with the PRI or the PAN ?

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

wendy davis's picture

@Azazello

against both nieto and trump, and remember amlo had signed on to nieto's PRI, so...there's that.

now i dunno who among the youth vote bought into his candidacy as hopeful, but remember that nieto had reversed the ejido system (agricultural commons) that had been won during emilio zapatata's mexican revolution back in the day, and reprivatized the land for wealthy land barons, much as with the feudal system under maxilmillian I who'd er...colonized invaded mexico for the french in 1861, essentially replacing benito juarez.

but the indigenous (mainly maya) have suffered under most rulers thumbs, and as so many oppressed do, may have seen amlo as 'hope'. my best to them all. i'd just checked jeremy corbin's twitter account to see if he'd reacted to the UK torture report. dinnae see that, but he'd elated about amlo's victory.

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Azazello's picture

@wendy davis
way back in '92*, but that hardly matters. Of course Corbyn is happy about AMLO's victory, so am I.
Common Dreams is calling him Mexico's 'Bernie Sanders'. I think it's a historic election but I could be wrong. He may, indeed, turn out to be a "sell-out" or a "sheepdog" but let's wait a bit before we make that judgement.

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

wendy davis's picture

@Azazello

on to NAFTA weakened the ejido system. then iirc, in 2014, peña unwound then further in the 'new and improved’ nafta negotiations having read that at one of the campesina websites. yes, corbyn is on twitter w/ him saying the same thing. ‘brothers’. but then ya have to give a fig about bernie sanders, don't you, lol?

sure, we'll have to wait, but i won't hold out false hope for him given both his words and his political history, that's all. as a side note, do you have any idea how odd it is dialoguing w/ someone w/ such a sinister-looking avatar?

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Azazello's picture

@wendy davis
I meant it to be more humorous than sinister. It comes from a Russian novel, The Master and Margarita by Mikhail Bulgakov.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1bpRxijSU8 width:400 height:240]

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We wanted decent healthcare, a living wage and free college.
The Democrats gave us Biden and war instead.

@Azazello

Azazello is a very bad man.

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

The core promises of Mr. López Obrador’s campaign — to end corruption, reduce violence and address Mexico’s endemic poverty — were immensely popular with voters,

Can't have any of those shithole Mexicans and their progressive policies infecting our elections north of the border, now can we?

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The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

wendy davis's picture

@Not Henry Kissinger

he's already makin' nice with the US and boss tweet. stay tuned, i guess.

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

@wendy davis

if Obrador turns out to be a bankster beard, a la Obama or Tspiras, but more likely he will end up falling somewhere between a Marxist revolutionary and a complete corporate sellout.

And given Mexico's tragically long history of Imperial quislings, any leader that moves its government at all to the left is on the whole a net positive.

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The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

@Not Henry Kissinger

And given Mexico's tragically long history of Imperial quislings, any leader that moves its government at all to the left is on the whole a net positive.

If AMLO had a hard-left agenda he'd quickly end up dead.
Plus, I doubt that a majority of Mexicans want a hard-left agenda.

What we'll likely see are policies that appear dramatically more leftist in relationship to what they were before.

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wendy davis's picture

@Not Henry Kissinger

i that if the underclass gets burned again, they'll just stop voting or...create autonomous zones, as the zapatistas did in '94. and not with impunity; no. the gummint hired mossad to help crush the rebellion, and it was very bloody w/ bombing and strafing. but...they're still the most horizontal democracy left in existence that i know about, at any rate. it's not popular to admire them, but i do.

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I'm a little bummed they lost to Brazil today.

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Beware the bullshit factories.