The Saudis are about to lose their war in Yemen, and lose bad

Three weeks ago Saudi Arabia was desperate for an exit door in Yemen.

The ceasefire is an indication that Riyadh may be preparing to end its involvement in the war and sue for peace...
By now it has become clear to Saudi Arabia and its allies that they cannot win the war in Yemen and that they urgently need an exit strategy.

The Houthis had been advancing since January.

Then things really started to fall apart for the Saudis.

The battle fronts along the Saudi-Yemeni border have witnessed a mutiny among Saudi-backed mercenaries fighting on behalf of exiled Yemeni President Abd Rabbuh Mansur Hadi.
The discontent is reportedly over Riyadh’s refusal to pay their salaries which have been unpaid for six months.

Then yesterday things got much worse for the Saudis.

stc.PNG

The Aden-based Southern Transitional Council (STC) declared a state of emergency, saying it would govern the port city and other southern provinces.

Now the Saudis are in danger of getting kicked out of Yemen entirely.

On Sunday Aden residents reported heavy deployments of STC forces in the city and a separatist source told AFP news agency they had set up checkpoints "at all government facilities, including the central bank and port of Aden".

Hussam Radman, a research fellow for the Sanaa Center for Strategic Studies said the separatists were already in control of the military and security in Aden where they have popular support.

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GreatLakeSailor's picture

...on Saud oil refinery have in all this? Was that the tipping point?

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Compensated Spokes Model for Big Poor.

@GreatLakeSailor @GreatLakeSailor

could have been a tipping point. Or maybe the Sauds are going broke. I hope both are decisive factors.

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12 users have voted.

His escapade in Yemen with unlimited air power is failing against the rag tag Houthis is failing miserably. He assassinated a journalist in Turkey (with Trump's blessing). But he was not quite done yet. His most brilliant maneuver was flooding the oil market during the covid-19 pandemic causing a free fall in oil prices that his country depends on for its existence.

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Alligator Ed's picture

@humphrey @humphrey is like calling Göbbels a journalist. Kashoggi's uncle was the world's largest arms dealer. His nephew, sliced and diced in Turkey, was no saint either. He wrote propaganda for the Muslim Brotherhood. Cut the euphemisms. Kashoggi and Göbbels belong in the same league. Don't forget, Josef G. wrote a children's book (Glücklich Kind). And while we are beatifying monsters, don't forget Reinhard Heydrich, the butcher of Czechoslovakia, played the violin expertly. Shall we equate him to Jascha Heifetz or Yitzhak Perlman? Oops. Juden!

[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PNe2LcIb6I]

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Not Henry Kissinger's picture

was founded by the UAE, who have their own colonial plans for South Yemen.

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4 users have voted.

The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?

@Not Henry Kissinger

Very bad actors in the conflict - with US complicity - but withdrew the bulk of their forces last summer.

Interestingly, the UAE has maintained trade and relations with Iran throughout the conflict and seem to have been far better than the Saudi's in the treatment of their large Shiite population.

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1 user has voted.

genuinely good news here (or anywhere) on occasion - thanks for posting.

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dervish's picture

of the House of Saud.

It's been long overdue.

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"Obama promised transparency, but Assange is the one who brought it."