China May Be Facing a Food Crisis
China’s agricultural industry has collapsed
... a leaked government document made public on Thursday shows that government officials have also been planning for a shortfall in food supplies ... “The State Party Committee and the state governments and counties and cities must do everything possible to transfer and store all kinds of living materials such as grain, beef, mutton, oil and salt through various channels,” ... The document also calls for the “mobilization of the masses to consciously store grain and ensure that each household reserves between 3 and 6 months of grain for emergencies.” ... As the rumors gained traction on social media, the government denied that the country is facing any crisis. ...
China’s stocks of wheat, corn and rice in 2019 totaled more than 280 million tons, while yearly consumption on average is more than 200 million tons.
But the three-month-long coronavirus lockdown saw China’s economy grind to a halt, and has had a huge impact on the country’s food production capabilities. ... 60% of village officials in 1,636 counties were “pessimistic” or “very pessimistic” about the planting season.
Farmers are struggling to find feed for their livestock and fertilizer is now in short supply. Hubei province, the epicenter of the outbreak, is also the country’s main producer of fertilizer, and factories have struggled to reopen. One estimate puts the shortfall in fertilizer production at 40%.
Another major part of the problem for Chinese farmers is that they rely heavily on domestic migrant workers. ... farmers have struggled to find enough laborers to cultivate their crops.
I'm not usually able to quote so much from an article, since most articles are a couple of sentences of data with a lot of filler, but this one had quite a bit of information.
Don't get too excited about the big numbers for the grain inventory. At the end of the harvest you have "carry over stock" which is what you'll be using for the next year. You still need to plant and harvest to have grain available for the following year.
I think the key takeaways here are shortages of fertilizer and labor. China's farm labor is domestic, but still must be free to travel. In other countries that rely on foreign labor and have closed their borders, problems are compounded. The calendar isn't going to wait on nations to get their act together, or on the virus to subside.
Seed, fertilizer, parts for equipment and irrigation, fuel, pesticides, herbicides. Farm labor, labor in food processing facilities. Transportation. All of it on a schedule dictated by the seasons with very little slack.
China, if the publicly available information is reliable, has done a good job of handling this crisis. A much better job than the US has done, yet food production is at risk.
I'm concerned.
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China and Korea
Have done really great jobs in tamping down their out-break (My daughter is in S. Korea) yet, they are still running into problems like this article exposes. So here is MY concern:
These countries have done a Herculean task of controlling their virus, and still have problems...the U.S. has done next to nothing pro-actively to combat this crisis...what do you think is going to happen here when the sht really starts hitting the fan? We see the tip of the iceberg already with the millions of unemployment claims.
Well done is better than well said-Ben Franklin
If you feed people
they will put up with almost anything. Quit feeding them and things spiral out of control quickly.
The basic shock absorber in the system is meat production -- if grain production falls short then the price of feed goes up, farmers can't afford to feed their herds and send additional animals to slaughter. Meat supplies go up, prices come down, people shift their diet to eat more meat for a while. Every introductory economics text covers this and it generally works.
Maybe I'm too concerned about just how broken everything is right now. Will this mechanism work in our current environment?
We've introduced another shock absorber in the form of corn ethanol for fuel. That seems to be more for winter blends, so cutting the ethanol requirement now might not help much, but if things look grim in the fall we could waive the ethanol requirements for a year, particularly in light of an oil glut.
What I'm worried about more than anything else is that nobody (and I mean NOBODY) is talking about food supplies. They are fussing about the stock market and rents and mortgages and how soon we can get back to normal. The time to shore up agriculture is right now while we still can. Maybe to the point of making soldiers available to plant strawberries.
"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone
I guarantee you that the Dept of Ag is working on this,
probably frantically. I don't guarantee you that they are having any success -- I really don't guarantee that they know what they're doing, after so many years of neocon and neolib ideology pushing down into their bureaucracy -- but I guarantee that the organization is populated by people who understand the agency's core mission, which is not, contrary to how it often seems to us corporate-hating anti-fascism folks, to ensure an ever greater concentration of the nation's food production in the hands of an ever smaller number of agribusiness behemoths.
The core mission of the Dept of Ag has been, ever since the Dust Bowl, to ensure that no American ever goes hungry for lack of sufficient calories produced. It was Stalin, of all people, who called the US out on the fact that our people had starved to death during the 30s, and our government could not -- or perhaps simply would not -- even produce a count of the mortality, nevermind avert the famine.
So, yeah, I'm sure they're making plans. Let's just hope those plans bear literal fruit. One thing that does not fill me with confidence is that there is not already in the media, a public information push for the equivalent of Victory Gardens, exhorting people to plant, plant, plant, even as the spring is upon us.
(Note that it's a secondary, but very much less successful, mission to ensure that no American ever goes hungry, full stop -- which is why SNAP is under the auspices of the Dept of Ag, and not Health and Human Services.)
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
@WoodsDweller Not *quite* nobody
Michael Snyder, whose work often is carried on Zero Hedge has been covering farm/food issues a lot since last year - the disastrous weather-related losses in the Midwest last year, the effects on farmers of the trade war, & etc.
From his latest: Supplies Are Starting To Get Really Tight Nationwide As Food Distribution Systems Break Down
Past time that people started paying attention to where stuff comes from.
Like how much of our cheap processed food
" In the beginning, the universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry, and is generally considered to have been a bad move. -- Douglas Adams, The Hitch Hiker's Guide to the Galaxy "
News articles today about co-ops dumping miljand meat packers
shutting down.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-dairy-farmers-dump-milk-100952217.html
Vermont has ordered all garden supply business to shut down as non-essential.
My daughter reports that Lowes has closed their garden sections.
Yet, trump is worried about the oil companies, not starving people.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-push-huge-deal-cut-201008149.html
I have a 50% chance of surviving COVID-19. I have zero chance of living without food!
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
shutting down garden supply centers is as
close to an insane response as anything i can imagine.
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
If you have the ability
and the place to do so, start a garden.
There will be shortages of all vegetables and fruits that are imported. Domestic production will also be hampered by lockdowns of labor that many count on.
If you haven't noticed, inflation of all food products has begun.
It's the perfect storm.
Regardless of the path in life I chose, I realize it's always forward, never straight.
I wouldn't trust any reporting from Radio Free Asia
nor anything from Vice Propaganda. Did you follow them on Ukraine, Syria, Crimea? Complete fucking bullshit proved wrong by history.
Vice based this report on one from Radio Free Asia.
So who is Radio Free Asia?
If you want to follow Radio Free Asia on YouTube and see the type of reports they produce:
https://www.youtube.com/user/RFAVideo/videos
Good catch. MUST
Still, not hard to believe food production would degrade in China and really, everywhere. So that's a real concern.
Orwell: Where's the omelette?
Food production in China has been minimally affected
China is a huge country and the coronavirus was effectively contained within 3 provinces. There were no shortages of basic foods anywhere in the country. During the worst of the pandemic in Jan/Feb the farmers suffered from a lack of migrant farm hands because many had left to go home for the Chinese New Year. The government chartered buses, entire trains and even planes to get them back to work for the April planting season.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_0ndit4GYk]
The country is mostly back at work now.
It is estimated that China will take a 2% hit on 2020 GDP - down to 4.5%. One important factor is that over 60% of their GDP is generated within the country. Xi Jinping has said that he would create huge infrastructure projects to keep unemployment to a minimum if global sales tank.
So don't trust RFA propaganda
" In the beginning, the universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry, and is generally considered to have been a bad move. -- Douglas Adams, The Hitch Hiker's Guide to the Galaxy "
Never mind for a minute what is said
I have been closely following events in China
since Jan 7 and have found many Chinese sources to be remarkably consistent and accurate as time went by.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvXhcWXfOyg&list=PLt-M8o1W_GdQtl8BFXhbjb...
Radio Free Asia propaganda at work
Watch this fucking shit they promulgate:
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPBCsjMzf_w]
If you want the truth of the matter:
Chinese medical teams realized that exercise (instead of lying in bed) improves lung function and morale so medical teams got the patients up and moving in the non critical coronavirus wards.
(the video at this link appears to be the video the fucking RFA used for propaganda purposes)
@CB and what comes out of
I don't buy that the situation in China is anywhere as near normal and under control as they are now trying to convey. Not all Chinese people believe their situation and system is so wonderful - although the ones who are courageous enough to say so tend to get disappeared with an efficiency the Clintons could only dream of.
A Chinese student who called for Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leader Xi Jinping to step down in a message posted to social media on Monday has gone missing. On Tuesday, reports suggested he was in police custody for his remarks.
Is this propaganda, too?
Has the ring of truth to me, maybe I'm being duped (after all, the Russians had me supporting Tulsi Gabbard and I didn't even get to be plied with five star hotel suites and high grade Russian hookers).
(attributed to dissident Chinese now-disappeared billionaire, Ren Zhiquiang)
"We have to stand up for the next generation"
This woman did - literally risking her life to do so.
(if anyone can get that video to play on youtube you're ahead of me - my browser goes crazy every time I try - could only manage to view it on Duck Duck Go and Breitbart. Just coincidence, of course)
You'll have to come up with something better
than Breitbart articles on isolated cases, especially from Hong Kong or Taiwan.
Try this link to see how Breitbart reports on China:
https://duckduckgo.com/?t=ffsb&q=breitbart+china&ia=web
The following weird video has been circulating for months. It came from Taiwan News. Did you expect something different? Do you really think the CCP has "bungled handling of Wuhan coronavirus outbreak"?
Try searching for: https://duckduckgo.com/?q=china+back+to+work&t=ffsb&df=w&ia=news
@CB
I'm not, in general, any fan of Breitbart - especially their rabid support of Israel. That said - I don't see anything out of line with
the articles on China that show up on the Duck Duck Go link you provided - they are mostly about the US vulnerability to supply chain disruptions due to over dependence on China - concerns which are now shown to be valid.
The "weird" video from the Taiwan Times is the same as the one in one of the Breitbart articles that I referred *you* to, except that one is captioned in English and the Taiwan Times one is not. Tell you what - try watching it and point out just what the weird parts are, just for those of us who are a little slow.
I think I recognize courage when I see it and those brave individuals who are willing to risk everything by standing up and confronting corrupt power have my profound respect.
Too bad the Cultural Revolution is gone, maybe you could have landed a gig as a Red Guard...
Here's sampling from first 2 pages
from DuckDuck link:
One screaming woman from 2 months ago is not proof of anything. Even title tells us what this story is about:
Lots of our food comes from China
Look at the labels. So. Will they continue to send food here? Or Keep it for themselves?
Will the people realize the folly of depending on a country (any country) on the other side of the world for all of their high tech manufactures and a huge amount of their food? Just because some megacorps profit?
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
Nearly all the garlic we use comes from China.
I told my s-I-l that I thought that was unwise. He gave me the argument that it was the best use of resources. I love him, but he’s wrong.
"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"
Didn't know that, thought it was Gilroy
Here's a tip. Garlic is easy to grow and you don't have to buy it from a Nursery. Go to Whole Foods or another store with organic produce. Buy as many cloves as you need. Separate them into "toes" and plant. Same thing with seed potatoes. Buy some organic potatoes (I like Yukon Gold) and keep them in a dark bag in the kitchen (but dry). When they sprout, plant them.
You must use organic because non-organic are treated with chemicals to suppress sprouting.
Potatoes are cut into pieces and treated with sulfur to form "seed potatoes". Just plant them whole, you don't need to maximize production.
Rabbits won't eat garlic. I've seen them pass it by to eat dandelions. rabbits, wild and domestic, LOVE dandelions. When we had a pet rabbit I would buy her dandelion leaves in an Italian produce store. But she preferred the wild dandelions. I suspect the cultivated ones were too mild. Something, I think it was ground squirrels, was eating garlic, though.
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
Little to none of the food I eat comes from China,
garlic included. After the poisoned baby food catastrophe (same poison as was in the Chinese pet food catastrophe that we got in the US), I was like, Fuck That, Nevermore. Whenever my Chinese colleagues return from visiting their families, they bring various "treats from home". I do not indulge.
Mind you, it seems like it's getting more and more difficult to determine the country of origin of some foods, but other than occasional latin american produce (ain't no US grown bananas!), even-more-occasional european cheese, Basmati rice from India, coconut milk from southeast asia, coffee, chocolate/cocoa, olive oil (i hope!) from Italy or Spain, and various spices from parts unknown, I will do my best to avoid any food that isn't produced in the US or Canada.
Oh, and whisky. Whisky from Scotland. That's food, right? Am I right?
And yeah, your S-I-L may be drinking Ricardo's Comparative Advantage Koolaid, but I say, "Merci, non!"
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
I tried planting garlic once with no luck although
most of the other stuff grew. I tried beets that fall, but as soon as they came up they disappeared. Turned out it was a beet loving tortoise.
As for my S-I-L, that apple has fallen quit far from the tree, thank goodness. He just has a bit further to go.
"The object of persecution is persecution. The object of torture is torture. The object of power is power. Now do you begin to understand me?" ~Orwell, "1984"
Rabbits love beets too.
Last time I planted beets, I saw a baby bunny moving down the row, inhaling the sprouts. He was so cute I didn't try to drive him away.
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
Whiskey from Kentucky or Tennessee
Not that paint remover that comes out of Scotland.
Ireland? That stuff is good.
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
cough gag splutter cough spit
Whisky is something that is made in Scotland.
I will grant Ireland a grandfather exception, in that it appears that the very first stuff that might have been considered uisqubae (sp?) may have been produced in Ireland. I doubt you or I would have wanted to drink it.
But no, that odd corn liquor jerry-rigged by the desperate expats of Caledonia who landed, centuries ago, in Kentucky and Tennessee ... that stuff is not whisky.
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
Walked in the yard today
Rhubarb is almost ready to pick. Uncovered roses. Apple & peach trees have lots of buds. Strawberry plants look great. Forgot to cover them in fall, but Winter was mild. Mostly single digits and only a few sub-zero days. (Are you shaking your head, Lookout?) Egyptian onions are up. Time to take the blueberry out of the garage. It is budding out.
The problem is, in a shortage, people will raid my yard.
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
@The Voice In the Wilderness
"The problem is, in a shortage, people will raid my yard."
Should've stocked up on ammo...
Wouldn't worry too much though, most people these days wouldn't recognize food as food if it's not in a package with microwave instructions.
As a Texan I used to know used to put it, "People like that couldn't look at a goat and get hungry."
I've got pigeons, crows, civet cats and pheasants that do recognize things like sprouting beans, peanuts and squash
so am having to take precautions to fend them off.
Crows excepted I figure they are all potentially on the menu
anyway if times get hard(er)...
They recognize peaches and apples
I'm told crow tastes really bad, hence the expression "eating crow". Posted above about agribusiness deliberately dumping supply and Vermont, no less, shutting down gardening centers.
No tomatoes this year. I wonder if I can sprout seeds from organic tomatoes.
I've seen lots of changes. What doesn't change is people. Same old hairless apes.
i'm sure you can still mail order seeds
The earth is a multibillion-year-old sphere.
The Nazis killed millions of Jews.
On 9/11/01 a Boeing 757 (AA77) flew into the Pentagon.
AGCC is happening.
If you cannot accept these facts, I cannot fake an interest in any of your opinions.
Propaganda on all sides
Fear. Uncertainty. Doubt.
" In the beginning, the universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry, and is generally considered to have been a bad move. -- Douglas Adams, The Hitch Hiker's Guide to the Galaxy "
Victory gardens will make a comeback
People who grew up during the Great Depression continued growing vegetables and fruits and I'm betting that many people will do that. But millions of people who live in apartments can't do it on a large scale but many can if they have balconies?
I read an article a few days ago about how food supplies are not getting restocked in some areas. And since Trump started his trade war thousands of small farmers have gone bankrupt and sold out to big AG companies. The bailouts that farmers got mainly went to big farms because they had connections with congress
criminalscritters. Last spring the Midwest was flooded for months. What happens if this happens again right in the middle of this mess?What should be keeping congress awake at night is how many people are going to lose their homes. Again. If this happens what response should we explain?
Here Comes The Next Crisis: Up To 30% Of All Mortgages Will Default In "Biggest Wave Of Delinquencies In History"
Add in the people who rent who aren't making their payments and then the people who own the rentals can't make theirs either. Did congress shoot their load too soon and on the wrong problem? Yep and you betcha they did it knowingly. Someone told me that they just voted to give themselves an $8,000 pay raise too. I can't verify it though.
Scientists are concerned that conspiracy theories may die out if they keep coming true at the current alarming rate.
eggs
All I have to say is that eggs cost > $5/dozen here now (if you can get them at all). I got a dozen for $2.49 2 weeks back, and that itself was much higher than normal.
Saw them doubled yesterday at the supermarket
It was my first trip into town an about a month. I planned to pick up a box of five-dozen medium eggs for pickling. I got a box last time for $4.89, yesterday they were over $11. Since I still have a few quarts in the cooler I took a pass.
Of the three markets I shopped, one had a limit of two dozens, one had a limit of one dozen, and the other was nearly cleared out. I ended up scoring three dozen jumbos for regular eating but they were also up from less than $2 to a little under $3.
Egg sizes other than the standard large ones tend to be priced lower and that continues to be the case.
I think the Chinese will do fine...now the US?
The Chinese have 40 centuries of experience...(including some severe famines)
https://www.permaculturenews.org/files/farmers_of_forty_centuries.pdf
Victory gardens supplied over 40% of US food during WWII. We can do that again, and perhaps alter our current food system....most of which is used for CAFO meat production.
This could be an opportunity to change corporate food dependence. More on food production in the Sunday Weekly Watch this week.
“Until justice rolls down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream.”
Not much new information
but at least more recognition of the issues.
How coronavirus threatens the seasonal farmworkers
Social distancing difficult, seeking health care difficult and risky, likely unpaid while out sick and thus discouraged from seeking care.
"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." -- Albert Bartlett
"A species that is hurtling toward extinction has no business promoting slow incremental change." -- Caitlin Johnstone