Steel tariffs: It's all about next Tuesday's election
It's come to this. Trump is willing to start a global trade war just to win a single congressional election.
Other than a slice of the Pittsburgh suburbs, it’s mostly a manufacturing area with some jobs in steel. There’s reason to believe that the surprise timing last week of Trump’s announced tariffs on steel and aluminum — which caught even top White House economic adviser Gary Cohn by surprise — was intended to boost prospects in this critical contest.If the Democrat wins three days after Trump’s appearance in the district on Saturday, it’ll set off fear among party strategists that they’re likely to drop dozens of seats in November and lose control of the House.
Trump will stress his proposed 25 percent tariff on steel imports, which is popular in the contested district. He’s under pressure from Republicans elsewhere to modify this plan, but don’t expect that to happen before the March 13 election day.
So the tariff will be gone, or mostly gone, two weeks from now.
It's a terrible and cynical way to run a country.
Here's the clincher: Europe is wise to what is happening, and why.
The European Union is preparing punitive tariffs on iconic U.S. brands produced in key Republican constituencies, raising political pressure on President Donald Trump to ditch his plan for taxing steel imports.
...Paul Ryan, Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, comes from the same state -- Wisconsin -- where motorbike maker Harley-Davidson Inc. is based. Earlier this week, Ryan said he was “extremely worried about the consequences of a trade war” and urged Trump to drop his tariff proposal.
Other U.S. politicians will also feel the pressure. Bourbon whiskey hails from Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s home state of Kentucky.
Wait a sec. Isn't this proof that Europe is meddling in our elections?
Oh, it doesn't matter unless it's Russia.
Speaking of elections, guess who won the Italian election?
That's right, Putin!
In the past 2 years, Putin has won elections in the United States, Austria, Czechia & now Italy. He's also delivered Brexit & performed well in France & Germany. It's because there are no problems in the west & a large amount of people only vote to make Russia happy. pic.twitter.com/4XATeOSTEO
— Bryan MacDonald (@27khv) March 5, 2018
Italy’s joins long list of elections influenced by Russia. Sputnik will do what Sputnik does. The question is: what are our democracies going to do about it? Will voters repudiate candidates who seek to benefit from Russian interference? https://t.co/JbFe35Sw5n
— Samantha Power (@SamanthaJPower) March 5, 2018
Comments
Just figuring that out now, huh?
I thought you wanted those tariffs. Having second thoughts?
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
I want a 10% across the board tariff
No exceptions.
This is the opposite of what I want.
This is all bluster, with no intention of follow-through.
Sounds like a winning strategy to me!
Everybody pays 10% more 'across the board' for imported goods and a bunch of American workers lose their jobs in the retaliation.
Yeah! Bring on the trade war!
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Except that history says the opposite
I know you don't want to acknowledge this fact, but the United States became the richest nation in history behind the highest tariffs in the world.
(mic dropped)
A few became very rich...
at the expense of everyone else.
Or do you think it's mere coincidence that the era of the highest trade barriers happened during the era of the greatest economic inequality (not counting present day)?
What good is a trade war if all it does is bring the sweatshops back home?
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Ah, no
You don't get "richest nation on Earth" = "a few rich at the expense of everyone else".
Those two things are mutually exclusive.
And more importantly, you acknowledge that inequality is at its highest levels in our nation's history, while trade barriers are at their lowest.
But Gawd Forbid that we go back to doing what made the nation wealthy to begin with. Let's keep doing the same ol' thing that has run this nation into the ground, because reasons.
Bring back the Gilded Age.
What a wonderful, enlightened period for workers that was.
Seriously, if this were 1896 you would have voted for McKinley over Bryan.
And somehow I'm the Capitalist apologist? Sheesh.
Besides, the US wasn't the 'richest nation on earth' in the nineteenth century. It only became so after two devastating world wars in the twentieth century destroyed everyone else's industrial bases.
Also, you lend way too much credit to trade barriers for the nation's growth. There was a whole continent to be developed economically regardless of whether the New England clothing manufacturers were able to charge their fellow Americans more for wool coats. Not to mention the massive increase in foreign money that flowed into US coffers due to the export of mainly agricultural products during this time.
Besides, this isn't 1870 any more and the US is now a developed nation. For developing nations trade barriers make sense to protect fledgling industries, but those don't exist in the US any more and they ain't coming back just because you want to charge us all 10% more for our cell phones.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Re:
Of course not. Bryan stood against Wall Street.
That obviously isn't what I said.
If you want to tap out of this, I won't hold it against you.
Not true. Our per capita GDP rivaled Britain's and Germany's before WWI, and we surpassed both of them in the 1920's...behind those tariffs.
I know what it means to have power in negotiations, and not to have power.
Labor with no power gets pay cuts every time.
I guess you would have held your nose in the voting booth.
Bryan stood firmly against tariffs, which Wall Street loved. It was actually a major issue of the campaign.
So tariffs, and not a devastating war that destroyed a whole generation of Germans and Brits, resulted in the US taking the lead in worldwide production? Really?
Sorry, that was meant for Aspie.
And tariffs helped the labor movement how again?
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
American workers probably lose worse with tariffs
Tariffs will accelerate the drive towards automation since the US does have some relatively decent labor laws that require shelling out a little more money. Automation is one of the main reasons for workers losing their jobs.
Beware the bullshit factories.
By that logic, workers should stop demanding living wages too
Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.
Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.
?
I'm not following that 'logic'.
Workers should stop demanding higher wages because....What?
You think workers are going to get paid more because of higher tariffs? When in history has that ever happened?
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Answers
Because otherwise management will move the factory to Mexico or China.
Have you been hiding under a rock since NAFTA?
United States 1860's-1960's.
American workers...
were paid more in the late nineteenth and early twentieth century?
Seriously? I'm sure that would be news to Eugene Debs.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
That's obviously what I meant
Sheesh!
Not Henry Kissinger, what's next?
Are we going back to GOS-style debating tactics?
Please do me a favor and let me know ahead of time.
It's not unfair.
You're the one who falsely stated workers got paid more during the Gilded Age.
A picture is worth a thousand words for that whopper.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Aaaaand we're done
Thanks for playing.
You win the GOS award for the day. Wear it proudly.
Yeah...
Seems I'm hearing a lot of name calling lately by people without much else to say.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
It must be everyone else
It couldn't possibly be that you aren't hearing what other people say.
Not everybody.
Just a few who don't like challenges to their bullshit statements.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
Right
Everyone else: "That's not what I said. That's not what I meant
You: That's what you said. You are all liars. And why is everyone so mean to me?
OK so what did you mean?
Quit the name calling and puerile misdirection and explain yourself.
Other than your correlation equals causation fallacy, give me even ONE concrete historical example where tariffs actually helped increase worker wages during that period of history you cite.
(I'd also point out that Engel's quote below cites a number of prominent examples where tariffs had quite the opposite effect.)
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
That's not at all what I said. I was responding to this.
The Bourgeoisie say the exact same shit when it comes to arguments against living wages or, hell, raising our abysmal minimum wage even one god damned red cent. Entitled fucks.
PresiDunce Dipshit is only doing this shit out of pure bravado. Not to mention one of his pig buddies dumped steel stock right before the announcement.
[video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5_alWuovBw]
Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.
Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.
I'm sure this all makes sense to you...
in your own mind. But honestly, I have no idea what point you are trying to make except trying to equate my argument that workers don't benefit from tariffs (they don't and never have) with some sort of robber baron ideology.
Read your history. Progressives have been standing against tariffs and other trade barriers since the term Progressive was first coined, because they have always realized that the benefits of those barriers only redound to the bosses while the costs always get dropped on the rest of us.
And I'd also appreciate it if you stop with the bizarre Marxist epithets, especially since you're the one making the (rather convoluted) case for the industrialists. Not me.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
I'm not making the case for anyone.
Anyone can see this (Drumpf's bloviating about tarrifs) is all nothing more than hot air and another way to exploit a shit system for his own benefit. Why keep squealing like a stuck pig about it?
Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.
Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.
You would make more sense...
if you approached an argument on its merits rather than simply trying to equate it to whatever group you don't like.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
So I should just kneel to them and shut the fuck up?
Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.
Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.
NAFTA . . .
lowered wages in the U.S., Canada and Mexico, a trifecta. But it certainly increased free trade.
Engels (and Marx) on Free Trade...
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
And why do you think I said this was nothing but bravado?
Modern education is little more than toeing the line for the capitalist pigs.
Guerrilla Liberalism won't liberate the US or the world from the iron fist of capital.
Oh stop with the doom and gloom.....
All they have to do is make it here, and there will be zero tariffs to pay. Funny how things like tariffs, free education, higher minimum wage, and single payer are always doom and gloom and the end of the world. I'm tired of the fear mongering and bull shit. What will they all say when the earth continues to spin? I'm with gjohnsit on tariffs all the way.
"Religion is what keeps the poor from murdering the rich."--Napoleon
Just to add to your sensible comment:
Is this issue really about 'free trade' vs 'protectionism' or is it about the fact that what are being termed 'trade deals' are nothing more than privately agreed corporate coups designed to drain workers and the world in order to suck the last drops of life-blood out of a planet, the life-support system of which they're murdering by industrial/military pollution and destruction for maximized profiteering and absolute control of everyone and everything else, while life lasts, at all cost to everyone and everything else?
Actual representatives of the workers and general publics of involved countries need to be working this sort of thing out together in a manner that's fair to everybody, with reasonable profits/living wages (and decent treatment) accruing to all involved in production/transport, etc. at any point and an end to unnecessary, if lucrative, transport around the world of 'coals to Newcastle' which is adding to costs and pollution, while workers are paid starvation wages to make the already wealthy even richer.
As long as these private deals are worked out specifically to screw over the worker and publics while freely destroying the ecology (which, for the short-sighted, includes any hope of a safe food/water/air supply) in a 'cost-saving' manner, in order to serve the pathological greed of corporate interests, billionaires and those serving their and their own personal self-interests within governments willing to sacrifice their people and country to Mammon, that is what they're going to achieve, no matter what label they're given.
And it seems to One Who, admittedly, Knows Nothing, that at this point, we're pretty much arguing about whether they should smash our future as well as all that remains to us now with a pickaxe or a sledgehammer.
TPTB typically attempt to frame everything in a manner that allows them to frame our perceptions so that we don't ultimately look at the results and the causes and the ways in which things should be done to make things fair and sustainable, because they'd then wind up with only reasonable profits and no monopolies or ability to buy governments.
I strongly feel, apart from everything else, that - if nothing else - we need to do whatever they least want us to do. And while we're there, maybe we can start shifting back into a societal frame involving sanity, empathy, ethics and all of those human qualities required for civilization.
They haven't been shifting us 'right', they've been shafting us into a globally suicidal lunacy.
Psychopathy is not a political position, whether labeled 'conservatism', 'centrism' or 'left'.
A tin labeled 'coffee' may be a can of worms or pathology identified by a lack of empathy/willingness to harm others to achieve personal desires.
Why raising tarriffs won't work this time:
1. we no longer have progressive taxation. Instead of reinvesting in production the rich will simply pocket increased profits.
2. people will see higher prices but will not see higher wages, allowing the rich to create "pressure" to remove the tarriffs. Once that is done the rich will keep prices high, increasing profits while still blaming the tarriffs.
3. we have a labor glut. though many people will go from part time to full time employment, there will be no need to increase wages. In fact, there will be a decrease in wages, as people will be willing to accept lower pay for the increased jobs.
4. the rich's media lackeys will say so again and again, and everyone will believe them. Anyone who doesn't believe will be marginalized.
On to Biden since 1973
On the other hand
tariffs make offshore outsourcing less competitive because stuff made here doesn’t get taxed.
"Please clap." -- Jeb Bush
You are assuming that it will increase American production
It will only increase the price of existing American production. Why take the risk of investing in increased production when you can force the consumers you already have to pay you the tariff without having to pay it yourself. Investment is by definition risky (foreign product consumers could always decide to not buy any more) but raising prices to consumers that you believe will buy no matter what is free money. Yes, this is a fallacy, but it conforms to the mind set of American capitalists.
On to Biden since 1973
5. Robots
Any increase in domestic production will largely be accomplished by investments in automation rather than actual people.
The current working assumption appears to be that our Shroedinger's Cat system is still alive. But what if we all suspect it's not, and the real problem is we just can't bring ourselves to open the box?
that too
So, what it all means is that without progressive taxation all tariffs will give us is higher prices and quicker job loss to automation (and higher profits, which will be invested in corruption)
On to Biden since 1973
That European Meddling is an Act Of War!
I read some spook or general of import's presenting of the new NSS or NDP - a defense strategy paper. I really wish I could find it again, it was rather scary.
It suggested that any diplomatic or economic chicanery intended to influence American interests was to be treated as an Act of War. It claimed diplomacy was an act of war, and was, for all intents and purposes, bonkers.
It was Mattis or McMaster, maybe? I went through a list on google and couldn't find it.
But I wanted to mention that these are Acts of War.
“Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” ~ Sun Tzu
There could be another reason
involving actually homeland security. It has been shown that steel and other products made abroad are often of inferior quality. Steel is an essential industry for infrastructure and defense. American steel can be more easily checked for quality control at the source of production than foreign manufactured steel.
Just this week, the president of Kobe Steel (Japan) was forced to resign due to the company falsely certifying their products met the specifications of their clients, some of whom were foreign clients. Kobe Steel and Toyota were previously sued in US courts over the inferior quality of the steel used in Toyota vehicles.
I am not saying that this is the reason for Trump's call for tariffs on imported steel, but there are good reasons for instituting tariffs. Chinese dumping of excess steel has caused multiple calls for tariffs all over the world.
Do I hear the sound of guillotines being constructed?
“Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable." ~ President John F. Kennedy