IATSE Strike or Contract
At 11:19 PM PDT last night (10/15) the Camera Local put out this bulletin:
Bargaining Resumes Tomorrow
October 15, 2021 - Bargaining has concluded for the night and will resume tomorrow morning.
There will be a virtual town hall meeting tomorrow morning to relate the latest on bargaining and to answer questions from the tens of thousands of people who may or may not go on strike as of midnight tomorrow.
You cannot cut it any closer than this. The only rumor I am hearing is that the management proposals coming since the strike vote have been improvements to their rock bottom offer that they have had on the table for months without budging. If there is any truth to the rumor, it means that the strike vote has worked to put at least some cognizable pressure on the Industry.
In the Alice in Wonderland universe of Hollywood unions this rumor could mean anything or nothing. But it is consistent with my own view of the unfolding drama -- there will be an 11th hour settlement. However, the closer this gets to the imposed deadline, the harder it will be to put this genie back in the bottle.
August 1914 looks more apt as a comparison as each minute without a settlement goes on. Even as I have been off the payroll for seven weeks now, I get calls from members who want to know whether their particular niche is going to go on strike and similar questions. There is an LA TV station that shares a lot with Netflix's main office -- all the anchors and reporters are in SAG-AFTRA, all the technicians are in IASTE. Will these people not directly involved in the movie contract be joining the strike when they see a picket line at their jobsite?
Here is tale told out of school: There has been zero preparation by the union for dealing with hundreds of picket lines and thousands of member questions like the ones that are coming to me.
That lack of experience at conducting a national strike and the lack of preparation for doing it now add up to my main reason for doubting that the strike will happen. On the other hand, it certainly looks like the Producers are rubbing Loeb's face in shit.
If a strike does happen, as much as I personally dislike the people who run that union, it behooves everybody who is not a zillionaire to support the union in every way possible. This could wind up being like PATCO -- as the ruling class decides to Make an Example out of the movie union.
More chips on more tables than I have ever seen in all my adult life right now. The future will be decided over the next twelve months and our side is losing badly as of now. We need something to shift the national dialog from Health to Workplace Justice.
This strike would pit The People against Silicon Valley. Another reason why I think IATSE will fold rather than fight.
But come Monday morning we will find out who blinked.