How close is the End of U.S. Dollar Hegemony?

I'm not sure how much credibility to put into this, but a former CIA advisor says that U.S. dollar hegemony has only weeks left. I'd give more credibility to an economist.
The big news this week was the downgrade of U.S. debt.

Fitch Ratings’ decision late Tuesday to cut the U.S. government’s credit rating represents the latest in a series of blows to the U.S. dollar’s international standing and reputation, one financial markets economist told MarketWatch.

The ratings agency’s criticisms could help countries like China and Russia to advance their efforts toward “de-dollarization,” which would see the dollar’s global dominance decline in favor of a multipolar order reliant on multiple currencies, cryptocurrencies or commodities, said Thierry Wizman, a financial markets economist at Maquarie Group.

Meanwhile, the media keeps trying to tell us that America's huge mountain of debt is actually our strength.
China has directly linked America's "weaponization" of the dollar to the danger to it's possible demise.

Screenshot from 2023-08-05 18-29-31.png

Share
up
15 users have voted.

Comments

Cassiodorus's picture

Western sanctions imposed on Russia in 2022 have particularly hastened the process of de-dollarization, causing “many other nations” to realize that “they could be next if they run afoul of the U.S. on certain issues.”

One has to consider at this point that "abandoning the dollar" -- for nation-states who find themselves on the US enemies list -- means creating a smaller list of dollar-holders holding devalued dollars, and a larger list of non-dollar-holders who no longer have to worry if their dollars and dollar-denominated assets are being devalued.

(As regards nation-states who find themselves on the US enemies list, what initially comes to mind are the African nations who have rejected French colonialism and are now asking for Russian assistance.)

Sure, dumping the dollar probably means heavy financial losses. But, afterward, there will be no sense in worrying about something that's already happened. I wouldn't be surprised, however, if at some point the Chinese dump their dollars and dollar-denominated assets on the open market.

up
8 users have voted.

"the Democratic Party is not 'left'." -- Sabrina Salvati

up
10 users have voted.
usefewersyllables's picture

@humphrey

would say “(cloud of fog) Reasons! (cloud of fog)…”

That should be read as “We don’t have a fucking clue either…”, but whatever.

The funeral pyre *will* be impressive.

up
7 users have voted.

Twice bitten, permanently shy.

n/t

up
4 users have voted.

"We'll know our disinformation program is complete when everything the American public believes is false." ---- William Casey, CIA Director, 1981

soryang's picture

This is a long video (over an hour), part 2, a continuation of their discussion last week. I didn't know that Radhika Desai and Michael Hudson had written a book exploring this topic together. The second half of the video discusses the historical and future economic characteristics of an international payments system and the scope and methods of the potential BRICS approach to an alternative central banks payment system. The impression I get is the Pepe has the vision of the potential end game, and that Desai and Hudson focus on the technical requirements to get there. The wide ranging conversation goes from the erosion of the US centered system of geopolitical hegemony to the economic focus of an alternative multipolar system. I cued the video to about the 25 minute point to start. I didn't listen to the viewer question part yet at the end at 55 min. Desai says China could trade bilaterally based on the ruan but a BRICs basket of currencies would be far more advantageous.

In the earlier part of the video, at one point, Pepe discusses integration of North Korea and South Korea into a Eurasian based BRI system with China and Russia by getting China to build high speed rail to both because they have the technology. South Korea already has high speed rail KTX. Former President Moon Jae-in, and industrial interests in South Korea had already planned this very thing and had discussed it with North Korea in 2018. They had gone so far as to get permission from NK to conduct pre-construction surveys to connect rail line routes on the east and west coasts respectively (that are cut at the DMZ). The US objected to this economic project because it "violated the sanctions." Other joint economic North South economic ventures were obstructed by the US as well. "South Korea get in 'lock step!'"

(Source- Channel A News, youtube July 11, 2018 screenshot)

up
7 users have voted.

語必忠信 行必正直

The Liberal Moonbat's picture

Do those who measure their wealth in dollars as a matter of course even have a stake in this?
Contrariwise, should we be barnstorming the gold-market (or maybe buying up seeds like those supposedly-kooky survivalists)?
I realize I should probably just take a number and wait my turn to see the haruspex, but I'd like to know something substantive.

up
1 user has voted.

In the Land of the Blind, the One-Eyed Man is declared mentally ill for describing colors.

Yes Virginia, there is a Global Banking Conspiracy!